Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 10

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos (Felgueiras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Felgueiras		Mafra

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	4.5
	1.73	3.3	4.1
	1.78	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.61	4.83
	1.84	3.51	4.25	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.2
	1.8	3.5	4.47	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.73)	3.48 ↓ (3.62)	4.42 ↓ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
52.3%

Draw
26.7%

Mafra
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

26%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

25.1%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Felgueiras - Mafra Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Felgueiras will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Mafra will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Pinto B. (G) 61. Eiro 3. Bonilla J. 5. Rosas P. 29. Banguera E. 42. Tavares A. 6. Moreira V. 18. Pereira G. 90. Santos J. (C) 9. Carlos Eduardo 19. Santos Teixeira L.	1. Fraisl M. (G) 18. Fabinho 4. Passi B. 66. Capitao D. 5. Beni D. 3. Chriso 20. Maiga Y. 19. Iheanacho S. 9. Nibe A. 15. Guilherme (C) 90. Etim F.
Substitutes
17. Arthur J. 7. Bruninho 30. Feliz 13. Figueiredo C. (G) 95. Fonseca T. 8. Landinho 20. Moura M. 10. Valente R. 21. Veiga D.	80. Goncalves V. 45. Kamara A. 17. Kolawole J. 22. Lemos F. (G) 7. Matos R. 35. Monteiro V. 6. Pereira P. 32. Rodrigo Freitas 25. Trindade T.
Coaches
Bento A.	Ferreira T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Etim F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pereira G. ↓, Bruninho ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Etim F. ⚽, Nibe A. (A),
68', Nibe A. ↓, Goncalves V. ↑,
68', Fabinho ↓, Pereira P. ↑,
70', Moreira V. ↓, Landinho ↑,
70', Santos J. ↓, Fonseca T. ↑,
70', Eiro ↓, Arthur J. ↑,
84', Tavares A. ↓, Valente R. ↑,
85', Beni D. 🟨,
86', Beni D. ↓, Matos R. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Bonilla J. ⚽, Bruninho (A),
90+5', Iheanacho S. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,
90+6', Etim F. ↓, Kamara A. ↑,
90+7', Kamara A. 🟨,
90+8', Chriso 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 14).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Felgueiras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Felgueiras is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
27.10.24	Felgueiras - Marítimo	1:3 ✺
11.10.24	Leiria - Felgueiras	1:3 ✺
05.10.24	Felgueiras - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Porto B - Felgueiras	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Amora - Felgueiras	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTWL
- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
28.10.24	Mafra - Leiria	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Porto B - Mafra	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	Oliveira Hospital - Mafra	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.10.24	Mafra - Alverca	1:1 ✺
30.09.24	Vizela - Mafra	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLTL

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