Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Mafra U23		Leixões U23

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.16	3.1	3.15
	2.42	3.25	2.98
	2.31	3.18	3.14	Watch
	2.34	3.23	3	Watch
	2.13	3.2	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.12)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	3.09 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra U23
40.9%

Draw
29.2%

Leixões U23
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.5%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

28.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Leixões U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra U23 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões U23 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Mafra U23 - Leixões U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Monteiro V. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Lobo G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 1 - 2, Lobo G. ⚽,

Preview

Mafra U23 is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Leixões U23 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mafra U23 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Mafra U23 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Mafra U23 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mafra U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
28.01.25	Santa Clara U23 - Mafra U23	1:1 ✺
21.01.25	Mafra U23 - Académico de Viseu U23	1:2 ✺
14.01.25	Mafra U23 - Farense U23	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Braga U23 - Mafra U23	2:1 ✺
17.12.24	Santa Clara U23 - Mafra U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWLL
- Leixões U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
28.01.25	Leixões U23 - Académico de Viseu U23	1:0 ✺
21.01.25	Braga U23 - Leixões U23	3:0 ✺
10.01.25	Leixões U23 - Portimonense U23	1:0 ✺
18.12.24	Famalicão U23 - Leixões U23	1:1 ✺
11.12.24	Leixões U23 - Académico de Viseu U23	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
02.04.24	Leixões U23 - Mafra U23	1:3
30.01.24	Mafra U23 - Leixões U23	1:2
22.03.23	Leixões U23 - Mafra U23	1:0
15.03.23	Mafra U23 - Leixões U23	3:3

Mafra U23 - Leixões U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide