Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA REVELACAO U23 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 7

Date: 28 February 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mafra (Mafra)


	Mafra U23		Maritimo U23

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.25	2.3
	2.4	3.4	2.5
	2.7	3.68	2.41
	2.64	3.44	2.4
	2.7	3.25	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.44)	3.4 ↓ (3.47)	2.4 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra U23
35%

Draw
26.9%

Maritimo U23
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

26.4%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

26.3%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Maritimo U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra U23 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maritimo U23 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Mafra U23 - Maritimo U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Mafra U23 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Maritimo U23 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mafra U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mafra U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Mafra U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mafra U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
21.02.23	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Mafra U23	3:1 ✺
15.02.23	Mafra U23 - Portimonense U23	1:1 ✺
08.02.23	Gil Vicente U23 - Mafra U23	2:1 ✺
31.01.23	Mafra U23 - Farense U23	0:1 ✺
24.01.23	Rio Ave U23 - Mafra U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTLLW
- Maritimo U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
08.02.23	Maritimo U23 - Rio Ave U23	3:0 ✺
04.02.23	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Maritimo U23	2:1 ✺
31.01.23	Maritimo U23 - Gil Vicente U23	1:1 ✺
17.01.23	Maritimo U23 - Famalicão U23	0:0 ✺
10.01.23	Leixões U23 - Maritimo U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
14.08.22	Mafra U23 - Maritimo U23	0:1

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