Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Europa point stadium (Gibraltar)

Referee: Jenkins R. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Magpies		Derry City

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.75	1.3	Watch
	8.25	4.75	1.32
	9	4.75	1.33
	9.4	5.2	1.33
	8.83	4.7	1.35	Watch
	9	4.8	1.29
	9	4.95	1.33	Watch
	8.4	5	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.67 ↑ (5.38)	4.86 ↑ (4.1)	1.32 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magpies
10.7%

Draw
19.1%

Derry City
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

22.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Magpies's form might have worsened.

Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derry City's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	15.4%	61.5%

Magpies - Derry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Magpies will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Derry will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derry: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Coleing D. (G) 32. Ronco K. 4. Diaz R. 3. Taylor A. 5. Zuniga F. (C) 9. Storer J. 8. Garcia J. 6. Carrascal A. 77. Bayode O. 10. de Salles Oliveira E. 7. Juanje	1. Maher B. (G) 23. Dummigan C. 6. Connolly M. 16. McEleney S. 14. Doherty B. 15. Diallo S. 8. Patching W. 28. O'Reilly A. 27. Kelly D. 9. Hoban P. (C) 12. McMullan P.
Substitutes
15. Coombes L. 16. De Haro E. 31. Del Rio J. 11. Forjan J. 13. Fraiz C. (G) 44. Hernandez A. 22. Orihuela C. 33. Stevens H. 19. Villar F. M. 1. Zappacosta M. (G)	3. Coll C. 19. Davenport J. 7. Duffy M. 40. McCay C. 21. Mullen D. 30. Ovendale E. (G) 26. Ryan T. (G) 24. Todd S. 11. Whelan C.
Coaches
Rooney N.	Higgins R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Connolly M. 🟨,
36', Storer J. 🟨,
45+2', Garcia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', de Salles Oliveira E. ↓, Forjan J. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Taylor A. ⚽,
61', Diallo S. ↓, Duffy M. ↑,
64', Storer J. ↓, Orihuela C. ↑,
79', Hoban P. ↓, Mullen D. ↑,
80', Coleing D. 🟨,
82', 2 - 0, Zuniga F. ⚽, Garcia J. (A),
82', Ronco K. ↓, De Haro E. ↑,
83', Garcia J. ↓, Coombes L. ↑,
85', Kelly D. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
85', McEleney S. ↓, Todd S. ↑,
90+3', Juanje ↓, Stevens H. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Derry is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Derry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Derry is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCB Magpies
Gibraltar National League
12.05.24	Mons Calpe - Magpies	2:0 ✺
08.05.24	Magpies - Manchester 62	3:1 ✺
28.04.24	St Josephs - Magpies	2:0 ✺
12.04.24	Magpies - Europa Point	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Glacis United - Magpies	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLTW
- Derry City
Irish Premier Division
04.07.24	Sligo Rovers - Derry City	2:1 ✺
28.06.24	Derry City - Drogheda United	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.06.24	Crusaders - Derry City	0:2 ✺
Irish Premier Division
13.06.24	Bohemians Dublin - Derry City	1:2 ✺
07.06.24	Derry City - Galway United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW

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