Match Info

Premier Division - Round 32

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
World	LOI TV


	Derry City		Galway United

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	5	Watch
	1.58	3.80	4.80
	1.58	3.95	4.9
	1.61	4.38	5.12
	1.62	4.22	5.04	Watch
	1.56	4.25	4.95
	1.6	4.15	4.93
	1.57	3.95	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.71)	4.06 ↑ (3.83)	4.94 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Derry City
58.3%

Draw
22.9%

Galway United
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

24.4%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

24.1%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Galway United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galway United than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Derry City - Galway United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Derry (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Norcott T. (G) 23. Dummigan C. 4. Stott J. 3. McClean P. 12. Burns D. 17. Twisk N. 8. O'Reilly A. 19. Fleming B. 14. Chapman E. 29. Smith T. 7. Duffy M. (C)	16. Cunha H. (G) 15. Williams W. 2. O'Connor A. 12. Facchineri G. 20. Devitt L. 3. Barratt C. 10. Hurley D. 8. Bolger A. 4. Keohane J. (C) 11. Twardek K. 7. Walsh S.
Substitutes
22. Barr C. 27. Boyce L. 15. Clarke J. 25. Grogan C. 24. Lyons-Foster B. 1. Maher B. (G) 28. Olayinka J. 21. Santos K. 11. Whyte G.	32. Angelini V. (G) 21. Connolly D. 30. Kazeem A. 9. Lomboto F. 28. Morahan J. 23. Pierrot F. 17. Thiam J. 54. Whittaker C.
Coaches
Connolly M.	Caulfield J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Walsh S. 🟨,
32', McClean P. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, O'Reilly A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Devitt L. 🟨,
71', Walsh S. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
71', Twardek K. ↓, Lomboto F. ↑,
71', Hurley D. ↓, Connolly D. ↑,
72', Chapman E. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
72', Burns D. ↓, Santos K. ↑,
72', Smith T. ↓, Boyce L. ↑,
81', Barratt C. ↓, Kazeem A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 1.

In recent outings, Derry has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Galway United is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Derry carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Derry: Markey D. (Injury) Winchester C. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Galway United: McGuinness D. (Injury) Piesold A. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Derry: McClean J. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Galway United: Brouder K. (Inactive).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Derry has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:20 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Derry against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:8 goals (averaging 1:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Derry City	32	9	14	9	45:42	3	41
7	Galway	32	9	11	12	42:48	-6	38

Last Results with these Odds

Galway United - the odds 4.44 are the expected chance of winning is 21.02%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derry City
Irish Premier Division
14.09.26	Waterford - Derry City	2:2 ✺
11.09.26	Shelbourne - Derry City	0:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
06.09.26	Derry City - Dundalk	4:2 ✺
Irish Premier Division
30.08.26	Derry City - Shamrock Rovers	3:3 ✺
21.08.26	Bohemians Dublin - Derry City	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWTL
- Galway United
Irish Premier Division
14.09.26	Sligo Rovers - Galway United	1:3 ✺
11.09.26	Galway United - Bohemians Dublin	2:3 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
04.09.26	Drogheda United - Galway United	1:2 ✺
Irish Premier Division
28.08.26	Galway United - Shelbourne	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Dundalk - Galway United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
19.06.26	Galway United - Derry City	2:1
04.05.26	Derry City - Galway United	1:1
03.04.26	Galway United - Derry City	2:1
22.08.25	Galway United - Derry City	1:2
13.06.25	Derry City - Galway United	1:1
18.04.25	Galway United - Derry City	2:3
07.03.25	Derry City - Galway United	1:1

Upcoming Matches