Match Info

Date: 30 October 2026, Friday ⏱️ In 2d 7h 📅 Remind Me


	Sligo Rovers		Derry City

	1	X	2
	5.00	4.33	1.53	Watch
	4.80	4.10	1.55
	5.40	4.00	1.58
	5.39	4.33	1.56
	5.3	4.31	1.57	Watch
	5.20	4.20	1.50
	5.26	4.20	1.56
	5.00	4.20	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.17 ↑ (4.97)	4.21 ↑ (4.11)	1.55 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sligo Rovers
18%

Draw
22%

Derry City
60%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19%

23%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

22.2%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sligo Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sligo Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Sligo Rovers - Derry City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Sligo Rovers is Relegated to Division 1.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sligo Rovers won 1.

Sligo Rovers has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Derry is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Sligo Rovers could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Derry carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sligo Rovers has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:21 (averaging 0.8:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sligo Rovers against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:6 goals (averaging 0.9:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Derry City	35	11	14	10	48:45	3	47
10	Sligo Rovers ✔	35	5	9	21	26:64	-38	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sligo Rovers
Irish Premier Division
23.10.26	Shamrock Rovers - Sligo Rovers	4:0 ✺
17.10.26	Sligo Rovers - Dundalk	1:1 ✺
09.10.26	Shelbourne - Sligo Rovers	5:1 ✺
19.09.26	Sligo Rovers - St Patricks Athletic	0:1 ✺
14.09.26	Sligo Rovers - Galway United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLLL
- Derry City
Irish Premier Division
23.10.26	Derry City - Dundalk	2:1 ✺
19.10.26	Derry City - St Patricks Athletic	1:0 ✺
16.10.26	Drogheda United - Derry City	2:0 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
10.10.26	Galway United - Derry City	0:2 ✺
Irish Premier Division
18.09.26	Derry City - Galway United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
07.08.26	Derry City - Sligo Rovers	2:0
06.04.26	Sligo Rovers - Derry City	0:0
06.02.26	Derry City - Sligo Rovers	2:1
05.10.25	Derry City - Sligo Rovers	1:0
12.07.25	Sligo Rovers - Derry City	2:0
22.04.25	Derry City - Sligo Rovers	3:0
15.03.25	Sligo Rovers - Derry City	0:1

Sligo Rovers - Derry City