The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derry City 60.8%
Draw 23.7%
Drogheda United 15.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54%
26.2%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.7%
24.1%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derry City's performance.
Drogheda United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derry City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Drogheda United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
22.2%
0%
Derry City - Drogheda United Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Derry: 50.6% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Beach E. (G) 22. Barr C. 3. McClean P. 23. Dummigan C. 2. Cotter B. 8. O'Reilly A. 28. Olayinka J. 19. Fleming B. 7. Duffy M. (C) 27. Boyce L. 16. McClean J.
1. Dennison L. (G) 2. Agbaje E. 22. Keeley C. 5. Burney L. 3. Kane C. 17. Farrell S. 19. Brennan R. (C) 7. Bucknor J. 10. Kavanagh B. 11. Oluwa T. 14. Doyle M.
Substitutes
32. Doherty T. 31. Downey C. 35. Kelly L. 1. Maher B. (G) 10. Markey D. 33. O'Brien O. 34. O'Donnell J. 21. Santos K. 6. Slevin R.
18. Bolger J. 25. Bosakani B. 28. Brady S. 29. Brennan J. 6. Godden J. 15. Kareem D. 32. Mare D. 8. O'Brien E. 44. Talley F. (G)
Coaches
Lynch T.
Doherty K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Burney L. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Dummigan C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Brennan R. 🟨,
60', Brennan R. ↓, O'Brien E. ↑,
65', Oluwa T. ↓, Godden J. ↑,
69', McClean J. ↓, Markey D. ↑,
72', Kavanagh B. ↓, Kareem D. ↑,
72', Burney L. ↓, Bolger J. ↑,
82', Markey D. ↓, Slevin R. ↑,
88', Bolger J. 🟨,
90+1', O'Reilly A. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 0, O'Reilly A. ⚽, Duffy M. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 1.
Derry has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Drogheda United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Drogheda United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Derry is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Derry: Slevin R.
(Injury)
There will not play in Drogheda United: Bosakani B.
(Inactive)
Davis W.
(Inactive)
Lambe O.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Drogheda United: Cruise K.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2:1.1).
Finland
United-kingdom
World
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Beach E. (G) 
Barr C. 
McClean P. 
Olayinka J. 
Dennison L. (G) 
Santos K. 
Godden J. 
Kareem D. 
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