Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 28

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: York Road (Maidenhead)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Maidenhead United		Fylde

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3	Watch
	2	3.4	3
	2.05	3.6	3.3
	2.11	3.55	3.24	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	2.03	3.55	3.25	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.31)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	3.17 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidenhead United
44.4%

Draw
26.5%

Fylde
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

26.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

25.7%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fylde might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Maidenhead United - Fylde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ross C. (G) 23. Abrahams T. 4. De Havilland W. 8. Ferguson N. 6. Latty-Fairweather T. 5. Lokko K. 9. McCoulsky S. 30. Onariase E. 16. Pettit C. 17. Smith R. 22. Welch-Hayes M.	31. Winterbottom B. (G) 23. Hosannah B. J. 15. Hugill W. 7. Jolley C. 18. McFayden L. 8. Mitchell E. 29. Ormerod D. 2. Sassi D. 16. Stokes Ch. 11. Ustabasi J. 17. Whelan C. (C)
Substitutes
25. Barratt S. 19. Cochrane O. 1. Collins H. (G) 3. Dyce T. 12. Keetch B. 31. Korboa R. 33. Stewart N.	19. Boatswain A. 37. Dodgson E. (G) 10. Haughton N. 20. Massey G. 5. Obi E. 34. O'Kane T. 40. Riley J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Abrahams T. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, McCoulsky S. ⚽,
41', Smith R. ↓, Korboa R. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sassi D. ↓, Haughton N. ↑,
46', Ormerod D. ↓, Boatswain A. ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Latty-Fairweather T. ⚽,
56', Jolley C. ↓, Massey G. ↑,
60', 3 - 1, McFayden L. ⚽,
72', McCoulsky S. 🟨,
72', Latty-Fairweather T. ↓, Dyce T. ↑,
75', 4 - 1, Abrahams T. ⚽,
81', Mitchell E. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
86', McCoulsky S. ↓, Keetch B. ↑,
88', Hugill W. 🟨,
90+1', Welch-Hayes M. ↓, Cochrane O. ↑,
90+4', Hosannah B. J. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 0.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Fylde could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Fylde have a series of home games.

Maidenhead will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:18 (average 1.1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Maidenhead won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:11 (average 1:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Maidenhead United - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.65%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidenhead United
English National League
14.01.25	Altrincham - Maidenhead United	4:0 ✺
01.01.25	Woking - Maidenhead United	3:1 ✺
26.12.24	Maidenhead United - Wealdstone	3:1 ✺
21.12.24	Eastleigh - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Maidenhead United - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLT
- AFC Fylde
English National League
26.12.24	Fylde - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
21.12.24	Solihull Moors - Fylde	4:1 ✺
14.12.24	Fylde - Eastleigh	2:2 ✺
10.12.24	Fylde - Ebbsfleet United	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Fylde - Kidderminster Harriers	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
24.08.24	Fylde - Maidenhead United	0:0
02.03.24	Fylde - Maidenhead United	4:1
05.08.23	Maidenhead United - Fylde	2:2
29.10.19	Maidenhead United - Fylde	1:1
02.03.19	Fylde - Maidenhead United	2:1
27.10.18	Maidenhead United - Fylde	0:6
30.12.17	Maidenhead United - Fylde	1:2

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