Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 24

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Mill Farm (Wesham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Fylde		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	1.91
	3.25	3.5	1.88
	3.5	3.75	1.95
	3.67	3.78	1.94
	3.54	3.72	1.94	Watch
	3.4	3.5	1.95
	3.54	3.7	1.89
	3.5	3.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.27)	3.66 ↑ (3.45)	1.93 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylde
26.6%

Draw
25.3%

Rochdale
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

26.8%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

26.3%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	4.3%	87%

Fylde - Rochdale Predictions

Users Predictions: Rochdale will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Winterbottom B. (G) 14. Bardell M. 10. Haughton N. 15. Hugill W. 7. Jolley C. 20. Massey G. 18. McFayden L. 8. Mitchell E. 5. Obi E. 21. Roberts T. 17. Whelan C. (C)	13. Waller S. (G) 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 18. Barlow A. 33. Beckwith S. 4. East R. 8. Gilmour H. 2. Gordon K. (C) 26. Hogan L. 9. Mitchell K. 29. Okeke J. 10. Rodney D.
Substitutes
2. Gamble P. 23. Hosannah B. J. 34. O'Kane T. 29. Ormerod D. 1. Richardson T. (G) 40. Riley J. 11. Ustabasi J.	7. Allarakhia T. 15. Ayinde L. 19. Burger J. 22. Dennis M. 16. Ferguson K. 40. Henderson I. 31. Weston C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Massey G. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Mitchell K. ⚽,
40', Bardell M. ↓, Hosannah B. J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 1 - 2, Gilmour H. ⚽,
63', Massey G. ↓, Ustabasi J. ↑,
63', Jolley C. ↓, Ormerod D. ↑,
64', 1 - 3, Gilmour H. ⚽,
69', Barlow A. ↓, Ayinde L. ↑,
78', Haughton N. ↓, O'Kane T. ↑,
82', Rodney D. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
84', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fylde won 1.

Fylde is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rochdale is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rochdale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rochdale will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Fylde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:10 (average 0.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Fylde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.8:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Rochdale - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.95%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Fylde
English National League
21.12.24	Solihull Moors - Fylde	4:1 ✺
14.12.24	Fylde - Eastleigh	2:2 ✺
10.12.24	Fylde - Ebbsfleet United	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Fylde - Kidderminster Harriers	2:3 penalties ✺
English National League
30.11.24	Sutton United - Fylde	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWLL
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
17.12.24	Rochdale - Tamworth	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.12.24	Leamington - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
03.12.24	Rochdale - Manchester United U21	0:1 ✺
English National League
26.11.24	Gateshead - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
12.10.24	Fylde - Rochdale	1:4
English National League
01.01.24	Fylde - Rochdale	2:0
26.12.23	Rochdale - Fylde	2:0
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Fylde - Rochdale	0:1
15.07.17	Fylde - Rochdale	0:1
12.07.16	Fylde - Rochdale	1:2

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