Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday


	Maidenhead United		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.25
	2.1	3.6	2.95
	2.25	3.41	3.25
	1.75	3.5	3.6
	2.22	3.32	3.1
	2.2	3.25	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.73)	3.38 ↓ (3.84)	3.2 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidenhead United
43.7%

Draw
27.4%

Oxford City
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

24.3%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maidenhead United's form might have worsened.

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oxford City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maidenhead United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oxford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maidenhead United - Oxford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ross C. (G) 27. Adams C. 2. Asare Z. 3. Beckwith S. 4. De Havilland W. 10. Ferdinand K. 6. Lokko K. 11. Mitchell-Lawson J. 16. Pettit C. 17. Smith R. 21. Zimba C.	1. Haigh Ch. (G) 4. Ashby J. 2. Burley A. 19. Carroll C. 7. Coyle L. 8. Fleet R. (C) 17. Fonkeu P. 5. Kirby N. 3. Miccio L. 22. Moore T. 14. Parker J.
Substitutes
20. Clerima R. 26. Kinsella L. 8. Nathaniel-George A. 38. Omilabu D. 7. Parsons H.	6. Harrison T. 10. McEachran Z. 16. Potter A. 9. Sanderson O. 21. Wilson J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 3.

Recent matches Maidenhead is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oxford City is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maidenhead will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Maidenhead won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidenhead United
English National League
19.08.23	Maidenhead United - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0 ✺
15.08.23	Hartlepool United - Maidenhead United	3:1 ✺
12.08.23	Dorking Wanderers - Maidenhead United	0:2 ✺
05.08.23	Maidenhead United - Fylde	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Banbury United - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWTL
- Oxford City
English National League
19.08.23	Halifax Town - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
15.08.23	Oxford City - Chesterfield	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Oxford City - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Aldershot Town - Oxford City	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.23	Banbury United - Oxford City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
08.01.19	Maidenhead United - Oxford City	1:1
English National League South
21.03.17	Maidenhead United - Oxford City	6:1
13.09.16	Oxford City - Maidenhead United	1:3
23.02.16	Maidenhead United - Oxford City	2:1
26.12.15	Oxford City - Maidenhead United	0:0
English FA Cup
28.09.13	Oxford City - Maidenhead United	1:0

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