Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 32

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Hartlepool United		Maidenhead United

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.2	6.25
	1.46	4.2	5.8
	1.5	4.43	6.02
	1.5	4.26	6.04	Watch
	1.48	4.15	6.04
	1.46	4.2	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.67)	4.24 ↑ (3.63)	5.99 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
62.7%

Draw
21.9%

Maidenhead United
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

25.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

24.2%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartlepool United's performance.

Maidenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartlepool United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+4%)

Hartlepool United - Maidenhead United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Smith A. (G) 10. Campbell A. 11. Charman L. 19. Cleary R. 20. Dieseruvwe E. 16. Featherstone N. 3. Ferguson D. 7. Hunter J. 9. Madine G. 18. Miley J. 5. Waterfall L. (C)	13. Ross C. (G) 23. Abrahams T. 4. De Havilland W. 10. Ferdinand K. 8. Ferguson N. 6. Latty-Fairweather T. 5. Lokko K. 24. Massey A. 9. McCoulsky S. 16. Pettit C. 22. Welch-Hayes M.
Substitutes
30. Aungiers J. 27. Folarin S. 31. Foster O. (G) 26. Robinson J. 17. Sass-Davies B. 15. Sloggett G. 21. Stephenson L.	25. Barratt S. 19. Cochrane O. 1. Collins H. (G) 15. Johnson J. 31. Korboa R. 14. Sho-Silva T. 17. Smith R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Latty-Fairweather T. 🟨,
37', Campbell A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ferguson N. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
54', Abrahams T. 🟨,
62', Miley J. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
68', Welch-Hayes M. 🟨,
69', Cleary R. 🟨,
74', Charman L. ↓, Stephenson L. ↑,
79', Abrahams T. ↓, Smith R. ↑,
90', Waterfall L. 🟨,
90+3', Hunter J. 🟨,
90+4', Campbell A. ↓, Sloggett G. ↑,
90+4', McCoulsky S. ↓, Sho-Silva T. ↑,
90+8', Sho-Silva T. 🟨,
90+11', Latty-Fairweather T. ↓, Cochrane O. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ole Miss won 1.

Ole Miss is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mississippi State is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ole Miss could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ole Miss will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ole Miss to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ole Miss won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1433:1435 (average 71.7:71.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ole Miss won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 681:625 (average 75.7:69.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
11.02.25	Hartlepool United - Tamworth	2:2 ✺
08.02.25	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Braintree Town - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
28.01.25	Barnet - Hartlepool United	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Hartlepool United - Woking	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWTLT
- Maidenhead United
English National League Cup
11.02.25	Maidenhead United - Southampton U21	0:6 ✺
English National League
08.02.25	Maidenhead United - Southend United	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Barnet - Maidenhead United	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Maidenhead United - Fylde	4:1 ✺
14.01.25	Altrincham - Maidenhead United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
19.10.24	Maidenhead United - Hartlepool United	1:1
09.04.24	Maidenhead United - Hartlepool United	3:1
15.08.23	Hartlepool United - Maidenhead United	3:1
08.05.21	Hartlepool United - Maidenhead United	2:4
10.10.20	Maidenhead United - Hartlepool United	0:4
10.08.19	Maidenhead United - Hartlepool United	0:1
08.12.18	Maidenhead United - Hartlepool United	0:1

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