Match Info

National League South - Round 41

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: York Road (Maidenhead)


	Maidenhead United		Weston-super-Mare

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.4	3.95
	1.97	3.28	3.97
	1.97	3.33	3.83	Watch
	2	3.1	3.6
	1.89	3.32	3.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.96)	3.29 ↓ (3.44)	3.81 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidenhead United
47.8%

Draw
28.1%

Weston-super-Mare
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

26.9%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.1%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Maidenhead United - Weston super Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Britton L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, Pecover L. ⚽,
65', 1 - 2, Robinson M. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maidenhead won 3.

Maidenhead is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Weston-super-Mare's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Maidenhead may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Weston-super-Mare has had a series of home games.

In this match, Maidenhead is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Maidenhead won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Maidenhead won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Weston-super-Mare: 4.6% Maidenhead: 2.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Weston-super-Mare	10	5	2	3	18:10	8	17
11	Maidenhead	10	3	4	3	12:11	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Maidenhead United - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.3%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidenhead United
English National League South
21.03.26	Maidenhead United - Dorking Wanderers	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Maidenhead United - Ebbsfleet United	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Eastbourne Borough - Maidenhead United	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Worthing - Maidenhead United	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Maidenhead United - Maidstone United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWTW
- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
24.03.26	Weston-super-Mare - Worthing	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Ebbsfleet United - Weston-super-Mare	1:3 ✺
17.03.26	Weston-super-Mare - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Weston-super-Mare - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Weston-super-Mare - Totton	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.08.25	Weston-super-Mare - Maidenhead United	1:0
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Weston-super-Mare - Maidenhead United	0:3
English National League South
11.03.17	Weston-super-Mare - Maidenhead United	1:3
24.09.16	Maidenhead United - Weston-super-Mare	3:0
23.04.16	Weston-super-Mare - Maidenhead United	2:0
17.10.15	Maidenhead United - Weston-super-Mare	2:0
11.04.15	Weston-super-Mare - Maidenhead United	0:2

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