The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ebbsfleet United 53.4%
Draw 25.1%
Weston-super-Mare 21.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.7%
27.6%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
26.7%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ebbsfleet United's performance.
Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Weston-super-Mare might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ebbsfleet United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Ebbsfleet United - Weston super Mare Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Appiah K. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Appiah K. ⚽,
23', 3 - 0, Appiah K. ⚽,
41', 4 - 0, Kennedy G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 5 - 0, Ogunleye D. ⚽,
74', 6 - 0, Seaman C. ⚽,
83', 6 - 1, Hulbert O. ⚽,
88', Smith M. 🟥,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 6th in the Promotion - National League South Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 7th in the Promotion - National League South Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 2.
Ebbsfleet is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Weston-super-Mare has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Ebbsfleet may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Weston-super-Mare has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Ebbsfleet is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Ebbsfleet has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:13 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ebbsfleet against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 6:7 goals (averaging 1.2:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Ebbsfleet
12
8
4
0
29:7
22
28
14
Weston-super-Mare
12
5
3
4
20:17
3
18
Outrights of English National League South for now
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