Match Info

National League South - Round 31

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Weston-super-Mare		Tonbridge Angels

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.3	3.95
	1.91	3.36	4.13
	1.88	3.42	4.09	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4
	1.88	3.34	4.18
	1.75	3.5	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.73)	3.35 ↓ (3.7)	4.11 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weston-super-Mare
49.9%

Draw
27.6%

Tonbridge Angels
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.1%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

27%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Tonbridge Angels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Weston-super-Mare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Weston super Mare - Tonbridge Angels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 0 - 1, Sutcliffe E. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Weston-super-Mare won 2.

Weston-super-Mare has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tonbridge has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Weston-super-Mare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Weston-super-Mare is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Weston-super-Mare won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 0.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Weston-super-Mare won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Weston-super-Mare: 4.6% Tonbridge: 2.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Weston-super-Mare	10	5	2	3	18:10	8	17
10	Tonbridge	10	4	2	4	19:11	8	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
14.03.26	Weston-super-Mare - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Weston-super-Mare - Totton	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Chesham United - Weston-super-Mare	4:0 ✺
03.03.26	Maidstone United - Weston-super-Mare	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Bath City - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLT
- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
14.03.26	Horsham - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Dover Athletic - Tonbridge Angels	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Tonbridge Angels - Worthing	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
24.02.26	Tonbridge Angels - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.10.25	Tonbridge Angels - Weston-super-Mare	0:0
15.04.25	Weston-super-Mare - Tonbridge Angels	0:1
04.01.25	Tonbridge Angels - Weston-super-Mare	2:0
27.01.24	Weston-super-Mare - Tonbridge Angels	3:1
12.08.23	Tonbridge Angels - Weston-super-Mare	0:1
15.03.14	Tonbridge Angels - Weston-super-Mare	1:0
11.01.14	Weston-super-Mare - Tonbridge Angels	2:1

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