Match Info

National League South - Round 41

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Gallagher Stadium (Maidstone)


	Maidstone United		Boreham Wood

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.4
	2.04	3.35	3.4
	2.03	3.48	3.51	Watch
	2.01	3.38	3.47
	2.04	3.35	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.31)	3.31 ↓ (3.38)	3.44 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidstone United
45.5%

Draw
27.8%

Boreham Wood
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

27.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

26.3%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidstone United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maidstone United's performance.

Boreham Wood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boreham Wood might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Maidstone United - Boreham Wood Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Wanjau-Smith S. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Wanjau-Smith S. ⚽,
45+4', 3 - 0, Brookes B. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 4 - 0, Fowler G. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maidstone won 1.

Maidstone is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Boreham Wood is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maidstone will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Maidstone won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9:22 (average 0.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Maidstone won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:15 (average 0.7:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Maidstone United - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.05%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidstone United
English National League South
22.03.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Maidstone United	0:3 ✺
15.03.25	Maidstone United - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
11.03.25	Maidstone United - Dorking Wanderers	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Hornchurch - Maidstone United	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Maidstone United - Salisbury	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWTTW
- Boreham Wood
English National League South
22.03.25	Boreham Wood - Dorking Wanderers	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Weymouth - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Farnborough - Boreham Wood	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Boreham Wood - Aveley	1:0 ✺
04.03.25	Truro City - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
31.08.24	Boreham Wood - Maidstone United	1:1
English National League
01.04.23	Maidstone United - Boreham Wood	0:4
01.10.22	Boreham Wood - Maidstone United	3:1
English FA Trophy
15.01.22	Boreham Wood - Maidstone United	2:1 penalties
English National League
29.12.18	Boreham Wood - Maidstone United	0:1
27.08.18	Maidstone United - Boreham Wood	1:2
20.02.18	Boreham Wood - Maidstone United	1:0

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