Match Info

National League South - Round 24

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday


	Hornchurch		Maidstone United

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	2.72
	2.41	3.47	2.74	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.63
	2.43	3.18	2.61
	2.37	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.51)	3.24 ↑ (3.11)	2.7 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
37.9%

Draw
28.2%

Maidstone United
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

29.9%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

30%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Maidstone United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Hornchurch - Maidstone United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hornchurch will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Maidstone will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Corne S. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Balanta A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 1 - 2, Kargbo H. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Hornchurch has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hornchurch won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Maidstone United - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.16%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
26.12.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Hornchurch	2:3 ✺
20.12.25	Hornchurch - Enfield Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Dover Athletic - Hornchurch	1:4 ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Maidenhead United - Hornchurch	2:0 ✺
02.12.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hornchurch	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWLW
- Maidstone United
English National League South
26.12.25	Maidstone United - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Maidstone United	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Yeovil Town - Maidstone United	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Maidstone United - Bath City	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Maidstone United - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
08.03.25	Hornchurch - Maidstone United	0:0
09.11.24	Maidstone United - Hornchurch	1:0
English FA Trophy
06.02.21	Hornchurch - Maidstone United	5:4
English Isthmian League Premier Division
17.01.15	Maidstone United - Hornchurch	2:0
02.09.14	Hornchurch - Maidstone United	0:2
22.03.14	Hornchurch - Maidstone United	1:0
23.11.13	Maidstone United - Hornchurch	1:1

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