Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Chelmsford City		Chippenham Town

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	5.25
	1.55	4.05	5.15
	1.52	4.38	5.09
	1.19	6.45	12.87	Watch
	1.54	4.05	5.45	Watch
	1.45	3.95	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.49)	4.45 ↑ (4.02)	6.51 ↑ (5.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
64.4%

Draw
21.2%

Chippenham Town
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

22.8%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

22.1%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chippenham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Ellison D. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Clark T. ⚽,
30', 2 - 1, Taylor L. ⚽,
44', 3 - 1, Barham J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', Folarin S. 🟥,
75', 3 - 2, Koszela O. ⚽,
79', 3 - 3, Owen-Evans T. ⚽,
86', 4 - 3, McDonagh-Kudiabor L. ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Chelmsford is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmsford won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English National League South
04.10.25	Chelmsford City - Dorking Wanderers	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Alvechurch - Chelmsford City	1:2 ✺
English National League South
20.09.25	Bath City - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Maidenhead United - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Chelmsford City - Farnborough	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWLL
- Chippenham Town
English National League South
04.10.25	Chippenham Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Walton & Hersham - Chippenham Town	0:2 ✺
English National League South
20.09.25	Enfield Town - Chippenham Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Gloucester City - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Chippenham Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.08.25	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	2:1
05.04.25	Chippenham Town - Chelmsford City	0:1
26.08.24	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	1:1
20.04.24	Chippenham Town - Chelmsford City	1:1
11.11.23	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	2:2
07.01.23	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	0:1
23.08.22	Chippenham Town - Chelmsford City	0:0

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