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Current Win Probability
Maidstone United 22.3%
Draw 25.5%
Gateshead 52.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.8%
27.7%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.4%
26.5%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maidstone United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maidstone United's form might have worsened.
Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gateshead's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maidstone United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gateshead, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
30%
60%
Maidstone United - Gateshead Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Maidstone will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Gateshead will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gateshead: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Maidstone won 0.
Maidstone is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Gateshead is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Maidstone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
Gateshead will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Maidstone won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Maidstone won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.