The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gateshead 33.1%
Draw 26.4%
Oldham Athletic 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
26.4%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
26.2%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gateshead's form might have worsened.
Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oldham Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gateshead, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Gateshead - Oldham Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Gateshead will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Oldham will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Mason O. (G) 12. Adom K. 8. Booty R. 9. Flower L. 19. Hannant L. 15. Humbles L. 46. Jones D. 24. McGowan W. 2. Tinkler R. 16. Tripp C. 11. Worman B.
1. Hudson M. (G) 20. Caprice J. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 34. Leake J. 8. Lundstram J. 6. Monthe M. 2. Ogle R. 4. Pett T. 16. Raglan C. 15. Rossiter J. 18. Waters B.
Substitutes
35. Bone C. 38. Bramwell J. 34. Colkett Ch. 20. John F. 45. Malcolm J. 26. Pani C. 41. Shelvey G. (G)
13. Dennis J. (G) 14. Garner J. 11. Kay J. 33. Khan O. 21. Sutton W. 32. Taylor S. . Worthington M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Fondop-Talum M. ⚽, Pett T. (A),
37', Caprice J. 🟨,
44', Waters B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pett T. 🟨,
59', Raglan C. 🟨,
61', Leake J. ↓, Kay J. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Hannant L. ⚽, McGowan W. (A),
72', Rossiter J. 🟨,
72', Waters B. ↓, Worthington M. ↑,
77', Worthington M. 🟨,
86', Lundstram J. ↓, Khan O. ↑,
86', McGowan W. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
90+1', Caprice J. ↓, Sutton W. ↑,
90+2', Booty R. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gateshead won 2.
Gateshead has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Oldham is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Gateshead could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Gateshead won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.9:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Gateshead won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 2:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Gateshead - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.52%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Mason O. (G) 
Adom K. 
Monthe M. 
Ogle R. 
Dennis J. (G) 
Khan O. 
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