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Current Win Probability
Oldham Athletic 32.1%
Draw 26.7%
Gateshead 41.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
27%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
28%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oldham Athletic's form might have worsened.
Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gateshead's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gateshead, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
16.7%
66.7%
Oldham Athletic - Gateshead Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Gateshead will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hudson M. (G) 7. Charsley H. 10. Conlon T. (C) 19. Gardner D. 5. Hobson S. 8. Lundstram J. 6. Monthe M. 30. Norwood J. 2. Ogle R. 16. Raglan C. 17. Uchegbulam J.
1. Brooks T. (G) 12. Adom K. 17. Beck M. 14. Belehouan J. 8. Booty R. 34. Colkett Ch. 19. Hannant L. 24. McGowan W. 23. Newton T. 5. Richardson K. 2. Tinkler R.
Substitutes
20. Caprice J. 22. Dolan C. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 27. Hammond O. 4. Hogan L. 3. Kitching M. 35. Moloney S. (G)
7. Allan T. 4. Butterfield J. 40. Moss H. (G) 9. Oseni O. 6. Storey L. 10. Whelan C. 11. Worman B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Newton T. ⚽, McGowan W. (A),
45+3', Lundstram J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Colkett Ch. ↓, Worman B. ↑,
54', Adom K. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Monthe M. ⚽,
61', McGowan W. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
61', Norwood J. ↓, Fondop-Talum M. ↑,
68', Newton T. ↓, Oseni O. ↑,
68', Belehouan J. ↓, Storey L. ↑,
68', Gardner D. ↓, Dolan C. ↑,
76', Beck M. ↓, Allan T. ↑,
78', Ogle R. ↓, Caprice J. ↑,
87', Storey L. 🟨,
90', Booty R. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Oldham won 0.
Oldham is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Gateshead in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Oldham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Oldham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
United-kingdom
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Hudson M. (G) 
Monthe M. 
Ogle R. 
Uchegbulam J. 
Brooks T. (G) 
Beck M. 
Hammond O. 
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