Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Mainz II		Gießen

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.25	3.5
	2	3.4	3.5
	2	3.4	3.72
	1.95	3.29	3.69	Watch
	1.92	3.36	3.6
	2	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.56)	3.35 ↓ (4.15)	3.59 ↓ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz II
46.9%

Draw
27.4%

Gießen
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

22%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

24.9%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mainz II's form might have worsened.

Gießen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gießen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (+19.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mainz II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gießen than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gießen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mainz II - Gießen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Kalemba M. L. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Mihaylov M. ⚽,
45+1', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 2 - 1, Schulz P. ⚽,
89', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mainz II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mainz II is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mainz II won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Mainz II won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
20.08.24	Villingen - Mainz II	0:0 ✺
11.08.24	Mainz II - Homburg	0:0 ✺
02.08.24	Eintracht Frankfurt II - Mainz II	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Mainz II - Hessen Kassel	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.24	Mainz II - Bahlinger	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTTWL
- FC Gießen
German Regionalliga Sudwest
17.08.24	Gießen - Stuttgarter Kickers	2:2 ✺
10.08.24	Eintracht Trier - Gießen	0:0 ✺
03.08.24	Gießen - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:2 ✺
27.07.24	Bahlinger - Gießen	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Gießen	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
05.12.21	Mainz II - Gießen	2:0
21.08.21	Gießen - Mainz II	0:1
20.03.21	Gießen - Mainz II	1:1
12.01.21	Mainz II - Gießen	2:1
15.09.19	Mainz II - Gießen	1:3

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