Match Info
NPL Northern NSW - Round 18Date: 11 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Cooks Square Park (Maitland)
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Maitland |
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Adamstown Rosebud |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.73 |
4.00 |
3.60 |
 Watch |
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1.72 |
4.10 |
3.70 |
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1.68 |
4.00 |
3.55 |
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1.77 |
4.15 |
3.50 |
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1.78 |
4.08 |
3.74 |
Watch |
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1.70 |
4.00 |
3.40 |
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1.71 |
4.00 |
3.74 |
Watch |
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1.74 |
4.00 |
3.65 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.68) |
4.04 ↑
(4) |
3.61 ↑
(3.55) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Maitland
52.4% | Draw
22.4% | Adamstown Rosebud
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maitland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Adamstown Rosebud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maitland than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adamstown Rosebud than the current prediction. (-1.4%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 64', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 85', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs: ) and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maitland won 4.Maitland is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Adamstown Rosebud has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Maitland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Maitland has had a series of home games. In this match, Maitland is considered a favorite.We predict that Maitland will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maitland won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 74:26. (average 3.7:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Maitland won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 35:9. (average 3.9:1).
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Maitland | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
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| 10 | Adamstown Rosebud | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25:36 | -11 | 17 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL Northern NSW | | | 11.04.26 | Adamstown Rosebud - Maitland | 2:5 | | 31.05.25 | Maitland - Adamstown Rosebud | 3:1 | | 28.02.25 | Adamstown Rosebud - Maitland | 3:4 | | 22.06.24 | Adamstown Rosebud - Maitland | 2:7 | | 23.03.24 | Maitland - Adamstown Rosebud | 1:1 | | 13.08.23 | Adamstown Rosebud - Maitland | 1:0 | | 13.05.23 | Maitland - Adamstown Rosebud | 5:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
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✺ - difficult match;
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