Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 18

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Cooks Square Park (Maitland)


	Maitland		Adamstown Rosebud

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.00	3.60	Watch
	1.72	4.10	3.70
	1.68	4.00	3.55
	1.77	4.15	3.50
	1.78	4.08	3.74	Watch
	1.70	4.00	3.40
	1.71	4.00	3.74	Watch
	1.74	4.00	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.68)	4.04 ↑ (4)	3.61 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maitland
52.4%

Draw
22.4%

Adamstown Rosebud
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

22.2%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

21.1%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maitland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Adamstown Rosebud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maitland than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adamstown Rosebud than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Maitland - Adamstown Rosebud Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
64', 2 - 1, ⚽,
85', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maitland won 4.

Maitland is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Adamstown Rosebud has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Maitland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Maitland has had a series of home games.

In this match, Maitland is considered a favorite.

We predict that Maitland will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maitland won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 74:26. (average 3.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Maitland won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 35:9. (average 3.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maitland FC
Australian NPL Northern NSW
20.06.26	Maitland - Newcastle Olympic	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Maitland - Valentine Phoenix	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Maitland - Belmont Swansea United	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Weston Bears - Maitland	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Maitland - Cooks Hill United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWL
- Adamstown Rosebud
Australian NPL Northern NSW
27.06.26	Edgeworth Eagles - Adamstown Rosebud	3:2 ✺
24.06.26	Kahibah - Adamstown Rosebud	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Lambton Jaffas - Adamstown Rosebud	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Broadmeadow Magic	1:5 ✺
30.05.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Newcastle Olympic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
11.04.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Maitland	2:5
31.05.25	Maitland - Adamstown Rosebud	3:1
28.02.25	Adamstown Rosebud - Maitland	3:4
22.06.24	Adamstown Rosebud - Maitland	2:7
23.03.24	Maitland - Adamstown Rosebud	1:1
13.08.23	Adamstown Rosebud - Maitland	1:0
13.05.23	Maitland - Adamstown Rosebud	5:0

Maitland - Adamstown Rosebud: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide