Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 16

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Cooks Square Park (Maitland)


	Maitland		Newcastle Olympic

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.33	3.2	Watch
	1.83	4.00	3.30
	1.75	4.25	3.15
	1.75	4.35	3.44
	1.39	5.94	5.38	Watch
	1.8	4	3.3
	1.76	4.15	3.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.82)	4.43 ↑ (4.3)	3.6 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maitland
53.6%

Draw
20.8%

Newcastle Olympic
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

21.2%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

20.2%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maitland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Newcastle Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maitland than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Olympic than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Maitland - Newcastle Olympic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maitland won 2.

Maitland has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Newcastle Olympic is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Newcastle Olympic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Maitland might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maitland won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 39:37. (average 2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Maitland won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 2:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maitland FC
Australian NPL Northern NSW
13.06.26	Maitland - Valentine Phoenix	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Maitland - Belmont Swansea United	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Weston Bears - Maitland	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Maitland - Cooks Hill United	1:3 ✺
09.05.26	Edgeworth Eagles - Maitland	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWLL
- Newcastle Olympic
Australian NPL Northern NSW
13.06.26	Newcastle Olympic - Kahibah	3:3 ✺
30.05.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Newcastle Olympic	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Newcastle Olympic - Weston Bears	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Newcastle Olympic - Lambton Jaffas	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Valentine Phoenix - Newcastle Olympic	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
21.03.26	Newcastle Olympic - Maitland	2:3
22.06.25	Newcastle Olympic - Maitland	1:1
22.03.25	Maitland - Newcastle Olympic	3:5
15.06.24	Maitland - Newcastle Olympic	1:2
16.03.24	Newcastle Olympic - Maitland	0:3
05.08.23	Maitland - Newcastle Olympic	1:2
07.05.23	Newcastle Olympic - Maitland	3:2

Maitland - Newcastle Olympic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide