Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 14

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Cooks Square Park (Maitland)


	Maitland		Belmont Swansea United

	1	X	2
	2.3	4	2.3	Watch
	2.43	4.18	2.32
	2.46	3.92	2.41	Watch
	2.4	3.8	2.3
	2.38	3.98	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.94)	3.98 ↓ (4.18)	2.32 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maitland
38%

Draw
22.9%

Belmont Swansea United
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

21.6%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

22.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maitland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maitland's form might have worsened.

Belmont Swansea United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belmont Swansea United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maitland than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maitland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belmont Swansea United than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belmont Swansea United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maitland - Belmont Swansea United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Maitland is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Belmont Swansea is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Belmont Swansea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Maitland won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Maitland won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maitland FC
Australian NPL Northern NSW
23.05.26	Weston Bears - Maitland	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Maitland - Cooks Hill United	1:3 ✺
09.05.26	Edgeworth Eagles - Maitland	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Maitland - Charlestown Azzurri	2:3 ✺
24.04.26	Broadmeadow Magic - Maitland	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLLT
- Belmont Swansea United
Australian NPL Northern NSW
16.05.26	Belmont Swansea United - Valentine Phoenix	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Belmont Swansea United	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Lambton Jaffas - Belmont Swansea United	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Belmont Swansea United - Kahibah	5:3 ✺
19.04.26	Belmont Swansea United - Newcastle Olympic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
07.03.26	Belmont Swansea United - Maitland	3:4
13.08.25	Maitland - Belmont Swansea United	2:2
16.07.25	Belmont Swansea United - Maitland	1:3

Maitland - Belmont Swansea United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide