Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 14

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Adamstown Oval (Newcastle)


	Adamstown Rosebud		Newcastle Olympic

	1	X	2
	2.7	4.1	2	Watch
				Watch
	2.89	4.08	2.09
	1.02	13.00	45.21	Watch
	2.9	3.7	2
	2.82	4.27	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.68)	5.83 ↑ (3.83)	10.68 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adamstown Rosebud
60.5%

Draw
25.6%

Newcastle Olympic
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

23.6%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

24%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adamstown Rosebud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adamstown Rosebud's performance.

Newcastle Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle Olympic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adamstown Rosebud than the current prediction. (-27.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adamstown Rosebud that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Olympic than the current prediction. (+29.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle Olympic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Adamstown Rosebud - Newcastle Olympic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 🟥,
37', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone NPL Northern NSW (Relegation) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adamstown Rosebud won 1.

Adamstown Rosebud is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Newcastle Olympic has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Adamstown Rosebud has had a series of home games.

Newcastle Olympic could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adamstown Rosebud won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:42. (average 1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Adamstown Rosebud won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adamstown Rosebud
Australian NPL Northern NSW
16.05.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Charlestown Azzurri	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Belmont Swansea United	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Cooks Hill United - Adamstown Rosebud	3:1 ✺
29.04.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Lambton Jaffas	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Weston Bears	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTLLL
- Newcastle Olympic
Australian NPL Northern NSW
17.05.26	Newcastle Olympic - Weston Bears	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Newcastle Olympic - Lambton Jaffas	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Valentine Phoenix - Newcastle Olympic	1:6 ✺
25.04.26	Newcastle Olympic - Edgeworth Eagles	3:3 ✺
19.04.26	Belmont Swansea United - Newcastle Olympic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
01.04.26	Newcastle Olympic - Adamstown Rosebud	2:2
12.07.25	Adamstown Rosebud - Newcastle Olympic	0:0
11.04.25	Newcastle Olympic - Adamstown Rosebud	4:0
10.08.24	Adamstown Rosebud - Newcastle Olympic	0:2
18.06.24	Newcastle Olympic - Adamstown Rosebud	1:2
01.07.23	Adamstown Rosebud - Newcastle Olympic	2:1
10.04.23	Newcastle Olympic - Adamstown Rosebud	3:1

Adamstown Rosebud - Newcastle Olympic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide