Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 22

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco (Lorca)


	Lorca Deportiva		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.92	2.32
	3.4	2.94	2.33
	3.23	2.91	2.31	Watch
	3.1	2.75	2.3
	3.25	2.83	2.28
	3.2	2.8	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.23)	2.86 ↑ (2.65)	2.32 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lorca Deportiva
28.6%

Draw
32%

UCAM Murcia
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

34.3%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

34.3%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Escobar Hernandez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Peque ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorca Deportiva won 1.

Lorca Deportiva has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

UCAM Murcia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

UCAM Murcia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lorca Deportiva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lorca Deportiva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

UCAM Murcia - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.49%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.02.26	La Unión - Lorca Deportiva	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Lorca Deportiva - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Real Jaén - Lorca Deportiva	4:2 ✺
11.01.26	Puente Genil - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Lorca Deportiva - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLLW
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
31.01.26	UCAM Murcia - CD Extremadura	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Xerez Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	UCAM Murcia - Puente Genil	3:2 ✺
11.01.26	Antoniano - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	UCAM Murcia - Águilas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.09.25	UCAM Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	2:1
20.02.21	Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia	1:2
29.11.20	UCAM Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	1:0
Club Friendly
07.08.19	Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia	0:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.02.18	Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia	1:0
08.10.17	UCAM Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	1:0

Upcoming Matches