Match Info

IRAN: PERSIAN GULF PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 29

Date: 12 May 2023, Friday


	Malavan		Mes Kerman

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.65	3.2
	2.45	2.65	3.34
	2.4	2.55	3.3
	2.39	2.75	3.28	Watch
	2.35	2.75	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.32)	2.67 ↓ (2.75)	3.28 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malavan
37.9%

Draw
34.2%

Mes Kerman
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

33%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

28%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malavan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Mes Kerman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malavan than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Kerman than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mes Kerman could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Malavan - Mes Kerman Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Malavan will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Mes Kerman will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mes Kerman: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Malavan won 1.

Malavan is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mes Kerman has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Malavan will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Malavan won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Malavan won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malavan
Iran Pro League
05.05.23	Malavan - Mes Rafsanjan	0:4 ✺
24.04.23	Sepahan - Malavan	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Malavan - Tractor Sazi	1:1 ✺
06.04.23	Persepolis - Malavan	3:0 ✺
30.03.23	Malavan - Havadar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTTLL
- Mes Kerman
Iran Pro League
05.05.23	Mes Kerman - Tractor Sazi	1:3 ✺
24.04.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Mes Kerman	1:0 ✺
14.04.23	Mes Kerman - Persepolis	1:3 ✺
06.04.23	Sanat Naft - Mes Kerman	2:1 ✺
30.03.23	Mes Kerman - Aluminium Arak	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
31.12.22	Mes Kerman - Malavan	0:0
Iran Division 1
25.04.22	Mes Kerman - Malavan	0:0
08.12.21	Malavan - Mes Kerman	1:1
21.06.21	Malavan - Mes Kerman	1:0
07.02.21	Mes Kerman - Malavan	1:0
08.02.20	Malavan - Mes Kerman	0:0
21.09.19	Mes Kerman - Malavan	3:1

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