Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 12

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Sirous Ghayeghran Stadium (Bandar-e Anzali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iran	IRIB Baran


	Malavan		Mes Rafsanjan

	1	X	2
	1.75	2.98	5.3
	1.81	3.12	5.3
	2.30	2.69	3.81	Watch
	1.75	2.9	5
	1.68	3	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.87)	2.94 ↑ (2.74)	4.98 ↑ (4.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malavan
49.9%

Draw
31.5%

Mes Rafsanjan
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

32.5%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

31.2%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malavan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Mes Rafsanjan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malavan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Rafsanjan than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Malavan - Mes Rafsanjan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Malavan will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Malavan (1.24) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Malavan (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Tayebipour F. (G) 5. Karimi S. 28. Karimi A. 24. Eiri D. 77. Safarzadeh A. 8. Sabet Imani G. 21. Habibi A. 20. Papi M. 88. Jafari F. 99. Ramezani A. 13. Alinejad M.	44. Mirzazad N. (G) 11. Sharifi M. 7. Karimzadeh M. H. 6. Zendehrouh A. 5. Nasiri M. 22. Matheus Costa 27. Kurdic N. 21. Jahanbakhsh D. 20. Naghizadeh A. 78. Jolani A. 34. Fakhreddini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Alinejad M. ⚽,
25', Sharifi M. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Matheus Costa ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Karimi A. ↓, Jafari M. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Ramezani A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malavan won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Malavan is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Malavan won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Malavan won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malavan
Iran Pro League
28.11.25	Paykan - Malavan	1:0 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
22.11.25	Aluminium Arak - Malavan	1:2 penalties ✺
Iran Pro League
06.11.25	Malavan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	Zob Ahan - Malavan	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Malavan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTTW
- Mes Rafsanjan
Iran Pro League
30.11.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Sepahan	0:3 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
22.11.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Damash Gilan	1:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
07.11.25	Fajr Sepasi - Mes Rafsanjan	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Chadormalou Ardakan	2:3 ✺
24.10.25	Aluminium Arak - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
30.03.25	Malavan - Mes Rafsanjan	3:0
25.10.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Malavan	1:1
24.05.24	Malavan - Mes Rafsanjan	0:1
18.12.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Malavan	1:4
05.05.23	Malavan - Mes Rafsanjan	0:4
24.12.22	Mes Rafsanjan - Malavan	0:0
Iran Division 1
12.07.20	Malavan - Mes Rafsanjan	1:0

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