Match Info

AFRICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 5

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Bingu National Stadium (Lilongwe)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	FanCode, FanCode
Malawi	MBC
World	FIFA+


	Malawi		Namibia

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.75	3.9	Watch
	3.2	2.7	2.55	Watch
	2.35	2.75	3.6	Watch
	2.98	2.7	3.03
	2.35	2.78	3.57	Watch
	2.38	2.75	3.6	Watch
	2.26	2.77	3.92	Watch
	2.35	2.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.38)	2.74 ↑ (2.7)	3.47 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malawi
37.9%

Draw
34.7%

Namibia
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

34.7%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malawi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Namibia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	42.9%	21.4%

Malawi - Namibia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Malawi will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Namibia will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Thole W. (G) Malawi 6. Aaron L. Big Bullets 5. Chembezi D. Black Leopards 15. Chirwa G. Ngezi Platinum 12. Lungu A. Big Bullets 9. Mbulu R. Costa do Sol 11. Mhango G. Marumo Gallants 14. Mpinganjira W. Mighty Wanderers FC 13. Mwaungulu P. Big Bullets 3. Petro C. FC Botosani 22. Singo Y. Big Bullets	23. Maova E. (G) Golden Arrows 2. Damaseb S. 21. Fredericks D. Jwaneng Galaxy 5. Hambira C. Bucks Bucaneers 4. Hanamub R. AmaZulu 7. Hotto D. Orlando Pirates 17. Josef B. 6. Katua N. UNAM 18. Petrus A. Cape Town City 13. Shalulile P. (C) Mamelodi Sundowns 10. Tjiueza P. Cape Town City
Substitutes
17. Banda J. Malawi 1. Chikooka G. (G) Silver Strikers 18. Chirwa G. Mighty Wanderers FC 20. Kalima Z. Silver Strikers 10. Kaonga C. Zanaco 2. Lameck M. Silver Strikers 7. Mwase N. Silver Strikers 8. Njaliwa L. Costa do Sol 19. Nkhoma L. Big Bullets 21. Nyasulu N. Big Bullets 4. Paipi M. Silver Strikers 23. Sambani P. Big Bullets	19. Amutenya P. 12. David T. 14. Kamatuka J. Durban City 3. Kambindu E. AmaZulu 1. Kazapua L. J. (G) Sekhukhune 20. Leevi A. 15. Mutanga J. 9. Muzeu B. Black Leopards 22. Nashixwa B. T. Ramblers 16. Ndisiro K. (G) African Stars 11. Shidolo M. Matebele 8. Stephanus W. African Stars
Coaches
Mabedi P.	Benjamin C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Damaseb S. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Tjiueza P. ⚽, Shalulile P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Mhango G. ↓, Kaonga C. ↑,
53', Damaseb S. ↓, Amutenya P. ↑,
61', Maova E. 🟨,
69', Mwaungulu P. ↓, Chirwa G. ↑,
76', Tjiueza P. ↓, Kambindu E. ↑,
77', Shalulile P. ↓, Muzeu B. ↑,
77', Fredericks D. ↓, Shidolo M. ↑,
80', Mpinganjira W. ↓, Nkhoma L. ↑,
86', Kambindu E. 🟨,

Preview

Malawi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Malawi won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malawi
African Nations Championship
08.03.25	Malawi - Comoros	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Comoros - Malawi	0:2 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
18.11.24	Malawi - Burkina Faso	3:0 ✺
14.11.24	Burundi - Malawi	0:0 ✺
15.10.24	Malawi - Senegal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWTL
- Namibia
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.24	Kenya - Namibia	0:0 ✺
13.11.24	Namibia - Cameroon	0:0 ✺
African Nations Championship
26.10.24	Lesotho - Namibia	1:0 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
14.10.24	Zimbabwe - Namibia	3:1 ✺
10.10.24	Namibia - Zimbabwe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

COSAFA Cup
13.07.21	Malawi - Namibia	1:1
28.05.19	Namibia - Malawi	1:2
FIFA World Cup
05.06.13	Malawi - Namibia	0:0
23.03.13	Namibia - Malawi	0:1

Malawi - Namibia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide