Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 6

Date: 18 November 2024, Monday

Location: Bingu National Stadium (Lilongwe)

Referee: Guedi M. (Dji)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Malawi	MBC


	Malawi		Burkina Faso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.2	1.68
	5	3.4	1.75	Watch
	5.29	3.27	1.72
	4.57	3.38	1.82	Watch
	4.5	3.25	1.73
	5.44	3.49	1.78	Watch
	5	3.4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.94 ↑ (4.42)	3.34 ↓ (3.72)	1.75 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malawi
18.9%

Draw
27.9%

Burkina Faso
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

26.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malawi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Burkina Faso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Malawi - Burkina Faso Predictions

Users Predictions: Burkina Faso will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Thole W. (G) Malawi 18. Chirwa G. Mighty Wanderers FC 11. Mhango G. Marumo Gallants 3. Petro C. (C) FC Botosani 12. Lungu A. Big Bullets 6. Aaron L. Big Bullets 15. Chirwa G. Big Bullets 9. Mbulu R. Costa do Sol 13. Mwaungulu P. Big Bullets 7. Mwase N. Silver Strikers 21. Singo Y. Big Bullets	1. Ouedraogo F. (G) AS Vita Club 25. Yago S. Aris Limassol 21. Nouma V. Simba 7. Tiendrebeogo J. Annecy 5. Djiga N. Crvena zvezda 14. Dayo I. (C) Berkane 2. Traore L. Shakhtar 10. Camara O. FK Auda Riga 6. Banse S. Greuther Furth 19. Bande H. HJK 4. Boni T. San Antonio FC
Substitutes
23. Chikooka G. (G) Silver Strikers 1. Chimbamba R. (G) Big Bullets 20. Kalima Z. Silver Strikers 10. Kaonga C. Zanaco 14. Mpinganjira W. Mighty Wanderers FC 8. Njaliwa L. Costa do Sol 19. Nkhoma L. Big Bullets 4. Nyasulu N. Big Bullets 22. Paipi M. Silver Strikers	8. Badolo C. Sheriff Tiraspol 11. Bouda O. San Jose Earthquakes 15. Maiga R. AS Douanes 16. Mare P. l. P. (G) Etoile Filante 13. Ndo R. Leixoes 23. Nikiema K. (G) Den Haag 17. Ouattara H. Etoile Filante 3. Ouedraogo M. Majestic 20. Pitroipa C. AS Douanes 18. Salou D. Hapoel Haifa 24. Simpore S. National Bank Egypt
Coaches
Pasuwa C.	Brama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Mhango G. ⚽, Mwaungulu P. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Camara O. ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
46', Boni T. ↓, Badolo C. ↑,
56', Mbulu R. 🟨,
57', 2 - 0, Mbulu R. ⚽, Aaron L. (A),
62', 3 - 0, Aaron L. ⚽,
74', Nouma V. ↓, Ouedraogo M. ↑,
74', Tiendrebeogo J. ↓, Pitroipa C. ↑,
77', Mbulu R. ↓, Njaliwa L. ↑,
79', Singo Y. ↓, Paipi M. ↑,
79', Yago S. ↓, Ouattara H. ↑,
81', Ouedraogo M. 🟨,
88', Mpinganjira W. ↓, Kaonga C. ↑,

Preview

In this match Burkina Faso is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Malawi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malawi
Africa Cup of Nations
14.11.24	Burundi - Malawi	0:0 ✺
15.10.24	Malawi - Senegal	0:1 ✺
11.10.24	Senegal - Malawi	4:0 ✺
10.09.24	Burkina Faso - Malawi	3:1 ✺
05.09.24	Malawi - Burundi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL
- Burkina Faso
Africa Cup of Nations
14.11.24	Burkina Faso - Senegal	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Burundi - Burkina Faso	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	Burkina Faso - Burundi	4:1 ✺
10.09.24	Burkina Faso - Malawi	3:1 ✺
06.09.24	Senegal - Burkina Faso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
10.09.24	Burkina Faso - Malawi	3:1
16.11.20	Malawi - Burkina Faso	0:0
12.11.20	Burkina Faso - Malawi	3:1

Malawi - Burkina Faso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide