Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 1

Date: 6 September 2024, Friday

Location: Stade du 26 Mars (Bamako)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free, myCANAL
Mali	ORTM
Mozambique	TVM 1
Portugal	Sport TV3


	Mali		Mozambique

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.4	3.8	7.25
	1.42	4	8.5	Watch
	1.44	3.91	8.89
	1.44	4.06	8.01	Watch
	1.45	4.15	8.66	Watch
	1.42	4	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	3.99 ↑ (3.75)	8.3 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mali
65.3%

Draw
23.4%

Mozambique
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

24.3%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Mozambique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	10.5%	10.5%

Mali - Mozambique Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Mali will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Mozambique will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mali: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Diarra D. (G) Young Africans 10. Bissouma Y. (C) Tottenham 11. Coulibaly L. Lecce 18. Diaby A. St. Gallen 21. Diakite S. Palermo 7. Diarra S. Haugesund 23. Dieng A. Al Kholood 19. Djenepo M. Antalyaspor 13. Doucoure S. Laval 15. Fofana M. Amiens SC 14. Traore A. Amedspor	1. Ernan (G) Associacao Black Bulls 20. Catamo G. Sporting Lisbon 18. Gildo Academica 21. Guima Igdir FK 5. Langa B. Almeria 15. Mandava R. Atl. Madrid 17. Mexer (C) Bandirmaspor 2. Nanani UD Songo 4. Nene Associacao Black Bulls 8. Pepo Caldas SC 13. Ratifo S. Chemie Leipzig
Substitutes
4. Camara A. Sturm Graz 12. Camara M. Al-Sadd 6. Diakate O. 3. Diallo O. 9. Doumbia M. Stade Malien 5. Keita C. Koro 20. Koita S. CSKA Moscow 22. Koita Y. (G) Djoliba 8. Sangare M. Rapid Vienna 1. Traore N. (G)	16. Abudo Zacarias A. Costa do Sol 6. Amadu UD Songo 7. Domingues UD Songo 12. Fazito (G) Ferroviario Nampula 9. Macamo E. Desportivo de Nacala 14. Macandza D. Costa do Sol 3. Malembana D. Al-Kharitiyath 19. Martinho Associacao Black Bulls 11. Muiomo J. Wiltz 23. Shaquille Sagrada 22. Urrubal I. (G)
Coaches
Saintfiet T.	Francisco Q. C. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Guima 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Catamo G. ⚽, Langa B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Coulibaly L. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Bissouma Y. ⚽, Doucoure S. (A),
63', Diarra S. ↓, Koita S. ↑,
63', Traore A. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
64', Gildo ↓, Macandza D. ↑,
74', Diakite S. 🟨,
75', Djenepo M. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
77', Ratifo S. ↓, Macamo E. ↑,
78', Guima ↓, Amadu ↑,
78', Pepo ↓, Malembana D. ↑,
81', Ernan 🟨,
90+4', Bissouma Y. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
90+7', Catamo G. ↓, Abudo Zacarias A. ↑,

Preview

In this match Mali is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mali won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mali
FIFA World Cup
11.06.24	Madagascar - Mali	0:0 ✺
06.06.24	Mali - Ghana	1:2 ✺
Friendly
26.03.24	Mali - Nigeria	2:0 ✺
22.03.24	Mauritania - Mali	0:2 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
03.02.24	Mali - Ivory Coast	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWWL
- Mozambique
COSAFA Cup
07.07.24	Comoros - Mozambique	2:3 penalties ✺
05.07.24	Mozambique - Namibia	0:1 penalties ✺
02.07.24	Mozambique - Botswana	3:1 ✺
29.06.24	Mozambique - Eswatini	0:0 ✺
26.06.24	South Africa - Mozambique	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

African Nations Championship
19.01.14	Mozambique - Mali	1:2

Mali - Mozambique: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide