Match Info

LaLiga - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca)

Referee: Cordero A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	Begin
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 4 South
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Mallorca		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.8	3.4	Watch
	2.52	2.88	3.25	Watch
	2.57	2.91	3.39
	1.35	3.95	14.09	Watch
	2.55	2.86	3.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.66)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	5.52 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mallorca
46.2%

Draw
34.5%

Deportivo Alavés
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

31.3%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

32.8%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mallorca's performance.

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Alavés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mallorca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Alavés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.7%	30.4%	47.8%

Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Alavés will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 27.4% – 68.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Alavés (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Mallorca (1.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Alavés (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roman L. (G) 23. Maffeo P. 24. Valjent M. 21. Raillo A. (C) 22. Mojica J. 11. Asano T. 8. Morlanes M. 12. Samu Costa 10. Darder S. 30. Domenech M. 7. Muriqi V.	1. Sivera A. (G) 17. Jonny Otto 14. Tenaglia N. 5. Pacheco J. 24. Parada V. 8. Blanco A. (C) 7. Vicente C. 19. Ibanez P. 10. Alena C. 21. Rebbach A. 15. Boye L.
Substitutes
13. Bergstrom L. (G) 18. Joseph M. 3. Lato T. 19. Llabres J. 27. Lopez D. 2. Morey Bauza M. 34. Olaizola J. 25. Pichu Cuellar (G) 9. Prats A. 26. Salhi I. 6. Sanchez A. 20. Torre P.	20. Calebe 9. Diaz M. 13. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Guevara A. 18. Guridi J. 11. Martinez T. 33. Montero R. (G) 28. Pinillos Wilson L. 23. Protesoni C. 4. Suarez D. 3. Yusi
Coaches
Arrasate J.	Coudet E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Jonny Otto 🟨,
27', Maffeo P. 🟨,
33', Parada V. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Asano T. ⚽, Domenech M. (A),
45+2', Samu Costa 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Domenech M. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
64', Parada V. ↓, Yusi ↑,
65', Boye L. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
65', Ibanez P. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
68', Muriqi V. ↓, Morey Bauza M. ↑,
69', Asano T. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
82', Jonny Otto ↓, Calebe ↑,
82', Alena C. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
87', Darder S. ↓, Llabres J. ↑,
87', Morlanes M. ↓, Torre P. ↑,
90+3', Yusi 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 1.

Recent form of Mallorca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Alavés has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mallorca will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Mallorca: Kumbulla M. (Hamstring Injury) Mascarell O. (Hamstring Injury) Rodriguez D. (Suspended) Virgili J. (International duty)

There will not play in Alavés: Diarra M. (Foot Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.1:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
24.09.25	Real Sociedad - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Mallorca - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
15.09.25	Espanyol - Mallorca	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Real Madrid - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Mallorca - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLLT
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
24.09.25	Getafe - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Betis - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
02.03.25	Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés	1:1
01.11.24	Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca	1:0
24.02.24	Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca	1:1
03.12.23	Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés	0:0
19.04.22	Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés	2:1
21.08.21	Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca	0:1
15.02.20	Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés	1:0

Upcoming Matches