Match Info

LaLiga - Round 2

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Angola	16:00	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	01:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	17:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	21:00	Begin
Belarus	18:00	Okko Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	18:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	11:00	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	23:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	10:00	Disney+
Croatia	17:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	17:00	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	17:00	TV2 Play
Finland	18:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Georgia	19:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	17:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	18:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	23:00	M Plus Live, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	17:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	20:30	FanCode
Indonesia	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	17:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	18:00	Gotv
Kosovo	17:00	ART Sport 3
Laos	22:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	17:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	09:00	Sky Sport
Netherlands	17:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	16:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	17:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	17:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	10:00	Disney+
Philippines	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	17:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	16:00	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	18:00	Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	18:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	17:00	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	23:00	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	17:00	Voyo
Slovenia	17:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	17:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ESPN 4 South
Spain	17:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	17:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	17:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	22:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	18:00	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	18:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	12:00	Disney+
Usa	11:00	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	11:00	Disney+
Vietnam	22:00	K+, SCTV 15


	Mallorca		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2.3	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.5
	3.25	3.35	2.22	Watch
	3.38	3.37	2.29
	3.18	2.99	2.41	Watch
	3	3	2.5
	3.46	3.26	2.3	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.63)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	2.4 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mallorca
30.4%

Draw
29.9%

Celta de Vigo
39.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.1%

28.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

29.9%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mallorca's form might have worsened.

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.3%	34.3%	31.4%

Mallorca - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 12 - 35.3%). Celta will win (votes: 11 - 32.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 32.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mallorca: 19.2% – 51.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Celta (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Celta (1.67) (votes: 10 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DC - Mallorca (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Celta (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.25 - Mallorca (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 7 - 23.3%). Celta (votes: 18 - 60%). Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roman L. (G) 2. Morey Bauza M. 24. Valjent M. 21. Raillo A. (C) 22. Mojica J. 6. Sanchez A. 5. Mascarell O. 11. Asano T. 20. Torre P. 10. Darder S. 18. Joseph M.	13. Radu I. (G) 12. Fernandez M. 24. Dominguez C. 20. Alonso M. 17. Rueda J. 22. Sotelo H. 6. Moriba I. 5. Carreira S. 10. Aspas I. (C) 9. Jutgla F. 18. Duran P.
Substitutes
31. Bergstrom L. (G) 30. Domenech M. 4. Kumbulla M. 3. Lato T. 19. Llabres J. 27. Lopez D. 29. Luna D. 13. Pichu Cuellar (G) 9. Prats A. 14. Rodriguez D. 28. Salas J. 26. Salhi I.	8. Beltran F. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 7. Iglesias B. 29. Lago Y. 3. Mingueza O. 21. Ristic M. 14. Rodriguez D. 32. Rodriguez J. 16. Roman M. 19. Swedberg W. 1. Villar I. (G) 15. Zaragoza B.
Coaches
Arrasate J.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Sanchez A. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Rueda J. ⚽, Sotelo H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sanchez A. ↓, Kumbulla M. ↑,
51', Asano T. 🟨,
56', Mascarell O. 🟨,
64', Aspas I. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
64', Fernandez M. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
67', Aspas I. 🟨,
68', Joseph M. ↓, Prats A. ↑,
68', Mascarell O. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
68', Asano T. ↓, Domenech M. ↑,
72', Sotelo H. 🟨,
74', Sotelo H. ↓, Beltran F. ↑,
74', Jutgla F. ↓, Iglesias B. ↑,
75', Dominguez C. 🟨,
82', Torre P. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Morey Bauza M. ⚽,
90', Duran P. ↓, Zaragoza B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Mallorca has had a series of home games.

Recently, Celta has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Mallorca: Larin C. (Inactive) Maffeo P. (Leg Injury) Morlanes M. (Red Card) Muriqi V. (Red Card) Samu Costa (Knock)

There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Alvarez H. (Illness) Cervi F. (Lacking Match Fitness) Starfelt C. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
16.08.25	Mallorca - Barcelona	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Mallorca - Hamburger SV	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Poblense - Mallorca	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Mallorca - Parma	1:1 ✺
30.07.25	Mallorca - Lyon	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWTL
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
17.08.25	Celta de Vigo - Getafe	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
01.08.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Celta de Vigo	1:0 ✺
29.07.25	Grasshoppers - Celta de Vigo	0:3 ✺
26.07.25	Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
05.04.25	Mallorca - Celta de Vigo	1:2
06.12.24	Celta de Vigo - Mallorca	2:0
13.01.24	Mallorca - Celta de Vigo	1:1
16.09.23	Celta de Vigo - Mallorca	0:1
17.04.23	Celta de Vigo - Mallorca	0:1
20.01.23	Mallorca - Celta de Vigo	1:0
06.03.22	Celta de Vigo - Mallorca	4:3

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