Match Info

LaLiga - Round 3

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Solh Sports 1, Tolo TV
Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bolivia	Red Uno, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Disney+
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22


	Real Madrid		Mallorca

	1	X	2
	1.18	7.5	13	Watch
	1.19	7.25	14.5
	1.15	7.9	18.5	Watch
	1.19	7.85	16.48
	1.05	11.70	46.32	Watch
	1.2	6.5	13
	1.2	8	16.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.25)	8.1 ↑ (6.07)	19.76 ↑ (12.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
83.1%

Draw
12%

Mallorca
4.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.5%

15.8%

7.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid's performance.

Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.8%	1.6%	6.6%

Real Madrid - Mallorca Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Real (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (55 of 60 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.68% – 98.66%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (28 of 30 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Real (votes: 29 - 93.5%). Mallorca (votes: 1 - 3.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Courtois T. (G) 12. Alexander-Arnold T. 3. Eder Militao 24. Huijsen D. 18. Carreras A. 8. Valverde F. (C) 14. Tchouameni A. 30. Mastantuono F. 15. Guler A. 7. Vinicius Junior 10. Mbappe K.	1. Roman L. (G) 2. Morey Bauza M. 24. Valjent M. 21. Raillo A. (C) 4. Kumbulla M. 3. Lato T. 10. Darder S. 8. Morlanes M. 20. Torre P. 18. Joseph M. 7. Muriqi V.
Substitutes
4. Alaba D. 17. Asencio R. 2. Carvajal D. 19. Ceballos D. 21. Diaz B. 20. Garcia F. 16. Garcia G. 13. Lunin A. (G) 43. Mestre S. (G) 45. Pitarch Pinar T. 11. Rodrygo 22. Rudiger A.	11. Asano T. 31. Bergstrom L. (G) 30. Domenech M. 19. Llabres J. 27. Lopez D. 5. Mascarell O. 22. Mojica J. 9. Prats A. 14. Rodriguez D. 12. Samu Costa 6. Sanchez A. 29. Virgili J.
Coaches
Alonso X.	Arrasate J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Muriqi V. ⚽, Torre P. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Guler A. ⚽, Huijsen D. (A),
38', 2 - 1, Vinicius Junior ⚽, Valverde F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Torre P. ↓, Samu Costa ↑,
67', Mastantuono F. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
68', Huijsen D. 🟨,
71', Guler A. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
72', Vinicius Junior ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
72', Alexander-Arnold T. ↓, Carvajal D. ↑,
79', Lato T. ↓, Mojica J. ↑,
79', Morey Bauza M. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
87', Joseph M. ↓, Asano T. ↑,
87', Morlanes M. ↓, Virgili J. ↑,
90', Eder Militao 🟨,
90+5', Mbappe K. ↓, Garcia G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 4.

Real is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mallorca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Mallorca has had a series of home games.

In this match, Real is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Real: Bellingham J. (Shoulder Injury) Camavinga E. (Ankle Injury) Endrick (Hamstring Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Mallorca: Salas J. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Real won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:9. (average 2.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Real won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:6. (average 3.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
24.08.25	Real Oviedo - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
19.08.25	Real Madrid - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.25	Swarovski Tirol - Real Madrid	0:4 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
09.07.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid	4:0 ✺
05.07.25	Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLW
- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
23.08.25	Mallorca - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Mallorca - Barcelona	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Mallorca - Hamburger SV	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Poblense - Mallorca	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Mallorca - Parma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
14.05.25	Real Madrid - Mallorca	2:1
Spanish Supercopa
09.01.25	Real Madrid - Mallorca	3:0
Spanish LaLiga
18.08.24	Mallorca - Real Madrid	1:1
13.04.24	Mallorca - Real Madrid	0:1
03.01.24	Real Madrid - Mallorca	1:0
05.02.23	Mallorca - Real Madrid	1:0
11.09.22	Real Madrid - Mallorca	4:1

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