Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 21

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Malmö		Örgryte

	1	X	2
	1.39	5.25	6
	1.44	4.60	6.25
	1.43	4.35	6.9
	1.45	5.05	6.64
	1.42	5.09	6.56	Watch
	1.4	4.95	6.45
	1.41	4.9	6.49	Watch
	1.41	4.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.35)	4.87 ↓ (5.3)	6.41 ↓ (7.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
66.1%

Draw
19.2%

Örgryte
14.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70%

17.8%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

17%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Örgryte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malmö, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Malmö - Örgryte Predictions

Users Predictions: Malmö will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olsen R. (C) 17. Stryger J. 2. Gregersen S. 44. Palsson M. 25. Busanello 40. Busuladzic K. 47. Lundbergh T. 37. Skogmar A. 7. Rosengren O. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 45. Hoog A.	44. Gustafsson H. (G) 18. Andersson A. 33. Lagerlund S. 6. Dyrestam M. 5. Styffe C. 14. Paulson D. (C) 17. Hofvander W. 23. Parker-Price O. 8. Laturnus B. 22. Sana T. 32. Ekblom V.
Substitutes
39. Assibu I. 27. Dahlin J. (G) 42. Jeppsson V. 23. John N. 6. Karabelyov Y. 4. Kurtulus B. 15. Lahdo M. 28. Milosavljevic J.	19. Andreasson A. 3. Azulay J. 16. Dahlqvist H. 29. Ebietomere M. 25. Hammar J. 11. Obou D. 2. Parker M. 34. Rahm A. (G) 7. Vindehall C.
Coaches
Helstrup G.	Holmberg A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Busuladzic K. ↓, Milosavljevic J. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
49', Ekblom V. ↓, Andreasson A. ↑,
52', Skogmar A. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Milosavljevic J. ⚽, Lundbergh T. (A),
68', Lundbergh T. ↓, Assibu I. ↑,
68', Busanello ↓, John N. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Rosengren O. ⚽,
74', Hoog A. 🟨,
77', Styffe C. ↓, Hammar J. ↑,
77', Paulson D. ↓, Obou D. ↑,
77', Laturnus B. ↓, Ebietomere M. ↑,
80', Gregersen S. 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Sana T. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Hoog A. ↓, Jeppsson V. ↑,
86', Palsson M. ↓, Kurtulus B. ↑,
86', Lagerlund S. ↓, Dahlqvist H. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Kurtulus B. ⚽, Rosengren O. (A),
90+3', Helstrup G. 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 1, Parker-Price O. (Own goal),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).

Malmö is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Örgryte's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Malmö is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Malmö: Ekong E. (Knee Injury) Haksabanovic S. (Yellow Cards) Jansson P. (Knee Injury) Kamanzi W. (Injury) Sjostrand O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Örgryte: Abukar A. (Knee Injury) Alm R. (Injury) Svensson W. (Injury)

There are questionable in Malmö: Christiansen A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Örgryte: Paulson D. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Malmö won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Malmo FF	24	11	3	10	38:34	4	36
15	Orgryte	24	4	6	14	29:54	-25	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
07.09.26	Malmö - AIK	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Sirius - Malmö	0:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
27.08.26	Lindö - Malmö	1:5 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.08.26	Malmö - Djurgården	0:3 ✺
16.08.26	GAIS - Malmö	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWWLW
- Örgryte IS
Swedish Allsvenskan
06.09.26	Örgryte - Hammarby	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	IFK Göteborg - Örgryte	1:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
25.08.26	Eskilsminne - Örgryte	1:3 AET ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.08.26	Örgryte - Halmstad	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Brommapojkarna - Örgryte	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
05.04.26	Örgryte - Malmö	1:1

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