Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 15

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Referee: Karlsson K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8
Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play


	Malmö		Norrköping

	1	X	2
	1.27	6.25	10	Watch
	1.37	5	7
	1.27	5.9	9.6	Watch
	1.27	5.98	10.31
				Watch
	1.36	5	7.5
	1.27	6	10.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.52)	5.69 ↑ (4.32)	9.15 ↑ (5.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
72.9%

Draw
16.7%

Norrköping
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

21.9%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

21.5%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malmö's performance.

Norrköping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Norrköping might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malmö that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Norrköping could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	18.2%	4.5%

Malmö - Norrköping Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Norrköping will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Norrköping (2.05) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Malmö will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Norrköping (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Olsen R. (G) 17. Stryger J. 18. Jansson P. (C) 35. Zatterstrom N. 25. Busanello 2. Karlsson J. 7. Rosengren O. 23. Johnsen L. 38. Bolin H. 9. Kiese I. 29. Haksabanovic S.	40. Andersson D. (G) 37. Neffati M. 2. Peprah K. 19. Watson M. 25. Jansson K. 7. Fransson A. 9. Traustason A. 11. Lushaku I. 10. Karlsson D.M. 5. Nyman C. (C) 8. Sigurgeirsson I.
Substitutes
22. Ali T. 16. Berg O. 40. Busuladzic K. 11. Ekong E. 33. Ellborg M. (G) 6. Lewicki O. 34. Loukili Z. 8. Sigurdsson A. 37. Skogmar A.	28. Andersson A. 18. Arnarsson J. 3. Baggesen M. 20. Bronner A. 24. Eriksson A. 14. Kalley Y. 30. Krantz T. (G) 22. Prica T. 4. Sogaard A.
Coaches
Rydstrom H.	Falk M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Jansson K. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Haksabanovic S. ⚽, Kiese I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Bolin H. ⚽, Karlsson J. (A),
57', Jansson K. ↓, Kalley Y. ↑,
57', Fransson A. ↓, Bronner A. ↑,
63', Kiese I. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
72', Karlsson D.M. ↓, Prica T. ↑,
72', Lushaku I. ↓, Arnarsson J. ↑,
75', Haksabanovic S. 🟨,
75', Stryger J. 🟨,
78', Kalley Y. 🟨,
78', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Busuladzic K. ↑,
78', Rosengren O. ↓, Sigurdsson A. ↑,
78', Bolin H. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
81', 3 - 0, Ekong E. ⚽, Busanello (A),
85', Jansson P. ↓, Lewicki O. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Nyman C. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 5.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Malmö is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E. (Broken Leg) Christiansen A. (Inactive) Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Holmquist S. (Back Injury) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury) Olsen R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Norrköping: Bolma S. (Knee Injury) Mitov D. (Wrist Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:25. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:10. (average 2.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
UEFA Champions League
08.07.25	Iberia 1999 - Malmö	1:3 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
05.07.25	GAIS - Malmö	0:0 ✺
30.06.25	Mjällby - Malmö	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Malmö - Häcken	3:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
29.05.25	Malmö - Häcken	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTTWL
- IFK Norrköping
Swedish Allsvenskan
07.07.25	Norrköping - Brommapojkarna	0:1 ✺
30.06.25	Djurgården - Norrköping	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Norrköping - GAIS	0:3 ✺
26.05.25	Norrköping - Mjällby	1:1 ✺
19.05.25	Sirius - Norrköping	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
17.08.24	Malmö - Norrköping	2:1
30.03.24	Norrköping - Malmö	1:5
Svenska Cupen
10.03.24	Malmö - Norrköping	5:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.10.23	Norrköping - Malmö	0:1
24.04.23	Malmö - Norrköping	3:0
11.09.22	Malmö - Norrköping	2:1
16.07.22	Norrköping - Malmö	0:2

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