Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 6 August 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Greece	20:00	Nova Sports Prime
Sweden	19:00	MFF Play


	Malmö		PAOK

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.2
	2.2	3.5	3.1
	2.24	3.52	3.25
	2.25	3.57	3.08	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.75
	2.29	3.58	3.15
	2.2	3.5	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.4)	3.48 ↑ (3.3)	3.09 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
42.3%

Draw
27.1%

PAOK
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.9%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29.6%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.7%	18.5%	40.7%

Malmö - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 20 - 39.2%). PAOK will win (votes: 22 - 43.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 29.5% – 56.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Dahlin J. (C) 17. Stryger Larsen J. 18. Jansson P. 35. Zatterstrom N. 25. Busanello 38. Bolin H. 23. Johnsen L. 8. Pena S. 11. Nanasi S. 9. Kiese Thelin I. 20. Botheim E.	42. Kotarski D. (G) 23. Sastre J. 16. Kedziora T. 4. Koulierakis K. 21. Baba A. R. 22. Schwab S. (C) 27. Ozdoev M. 14. Zivkovic A. 7. Konstantelias G. 11. Taison 71. Thomas B.
Substitutes
22. Ali T. 16. Berg O. 10. Christiansen A. 29. Haksabanovic S. 14. Jorgensen S. 34. Loukili Z. 33. Makolli E. 13. Olsson M. 30. Persson J. (G) 1. Ricardo Friedrich (G) 5. Rieks S. 7. Rosengren O.	2. Camara M. 9. Chalov F. 77. Despodov K. 5. Michailidis G. 10. Murg T. 25. Thymianis K. 34. Tissoudali T. 15. Troost-Ekong W. 99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 6. Tsingaras T. 20. Vieirinha
Coaches
Rydstrom H.	Lucescu R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Jansson P. ⚽, Nanasi S. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Taison ⚽, Konstantelias G. (A),
45+4', Bolin H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Botheim E. 🟨,
66', Botheim E. ↓, Christiansen A. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Nanasi S. ⚽, Christiansen A. (A),
69', Thomas B. ↓, Tissoudali T. ↑,
70', Baba A. R. 🟨,
72', Sastre J. 🟨,
73', Zivkovic A. ↓, Despodov K. ↑,
73', Schwab S. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Baba A. R. ⚽, Despodov K. (A),
83', Bolin H. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
83', Konstantelias G. ↓, Murg T. ↑,
84', Camara M. 🟨,
87', Nanasi S. 🟨,
90+2', Ozdoev M. 🟨,
90+4', Pena S. ↓, Berg O. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Malmö could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Malmö will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
UEFA Champions League
30.07.24	KÍ Klaksvík - Malmö	3:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.07.24	Malmö - Sirius	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.07.24	Malmö - KÍ Klaksvík	4:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.07.24	Sirius - Malmö	3:4 ✺
13.07.24	Mjällby - Malmö	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWWL
- PAOK FC
UEFA Champions League
31.07.24	Borac Banja Luka - PAOK	0:1 ✺
24.07.24	PAOK - Borac Banja Luka	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Vitesse - PAOK	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	PAOK - Saint-Gilloise	1:2 ✺
06.07.24	PAOK - Hibernian	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WWLLL

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