Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Sweden	MFF Play Premium
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Malmö		Sigma Olomouc

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	7	Watch
	1.57	4.2	5.25
	1.44	4.15	7.4	Watch
	1.47	4.24	7.58
	1.14	7.30	19.48	Watch
	1.53	3.8	5.5
	1.52	4.05	7.08	Watch
	1.55	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.55)	4.48 ↑ (3.7)	8.06 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
66.3%

Draw
21.7%

Sigma Olomouc
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

24.8%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

27.2%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malmö's performance.

Sigma Olomouc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92%	6%	2%

Malmö - Sigma Olomouc Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1 - Malmö (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Malmö will win (45 of 48 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Malmö will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 20 - 95.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Olsen R. (G) 17. Stryger J. 18. Jansson P. (C) 19. Rosler C. 25. Busanello 22. Ali T. 7. Rosengren O. 37. Skogmar A. 38. Bolin H. 29. Haksabanovic S. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T.	91. Koutny J. (G) 16. Slavicek F. 2. Sylla A. 21. Kral J. 13. Slama J. 8. Spacil J. 7. Breite R. (C) 30. Navratil J. 37. Langer S. 24. Tkac D. 15. Vasulin D.
Substitutes
16. Berg O. 40. Busuladzic K. 10. Christiansen A. 5. Djuric A. 11. Ekong E. 33. Ellborg M. (G) 21. Holmquist S. 23. Johnsen L. 2. Karlsson J. 13. Olsson M. 8. Sigurdsson A. 15. Soumah S.	77. Dolznikov A. 23. Dumitrescu A. 22. Hadas M. 98. Hruska M. (G) 5. Huk T. 39. Janosek D. 10. Kostadinov T. 25. Mikulenka M. 14. Rusek A. 6. Sip J. 29. Stoppen T. (G) 26. Tijani M.
Coaches
Rydstrom H.	Janotka T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Haksabanovic S. ⚽, Ali T. (A),
12', Slama J. 🟨,
16', Olsen R. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Haksabanovic S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tkac D. ↓, Dolznikov A. ↑,
67', Dolznikov A. 🟨,
68', Vasulin D. ↓, Tijani M. ↑,
68', Navratil J. ↓, Hadas M. ↑,
74', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Christiansen A. ↑,
74', Skogmar A. ↓, Johnsen L. ↑,
74', Gudjohnsen D. T. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
83', Ekong E. 🟨,
83', Langer S. ↓, Kostadinov T. ↑,
86', Ali T. ↓, Sigurdsson A. ↑,
90', Spacil J. ↓, Rusek A. ↑,
90+2', Sylla A. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 0, Johnsen L. (Pen),

Preview

1st leg.

Recent performances by Malmö have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sigma is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sigma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Malmö is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
16.08.25	Halmstad - Malmö	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.08.25	Copenhagen - Malmö	5:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
09.08.25	Malmö - Mjällby	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.08.25	Malmö - Copenhagen	0:0 ✺
30.07.25	Malmö - RFS	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLTW
- Sigma Olomouc
Czech 1 Liga
16.08.25	Sigma Olomouc - Zlín	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Sparta Prague - Sigma Olomouc	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Sigma Olomouc - Slovan Liberec	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Sigma Olomouc - Dukla Prague	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	Slovácko - Sigma Olomouc	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWTW

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