Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
United Kingdom	18:00	Solidsport TV


	Malmö		RFS

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.28	5.5	9.5
	1.41	4.7	6.9	Watch
	1.38	4.7	6.4
	1.12	7.95	20.77	Watch
	1.25	5	10
	1.4	4.92	8.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.36)	5.36 ↑ (5.11)	9.74 ↑ (9.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
72.4%

Draw
17.8%

RFS
9.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.6%

18.8%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2%

17.9%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFS than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96%	4%	0%

Malmö - RFS Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1, 1st Half - RFS (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC, 1st Half - RFS (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Malmö will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Malmö will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 8 - 72.7%). RFS (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Olsen R. (G) 19. Rosler C. 18. Jansson P. (C) 5. Djuric A. 25. Busanello 17. Stryger J. 7. Rosengren O. 16. Berg O. 38. Bolin H. 29. Haksabanovic S. 22. Ali T.	35. Maric M. (G) 11. Savalnieks R. 30. Njie H. 4. Veips R. 43. Lipuscek Z. (C) 70. Talla M. 10. Ikaunieks J. 26. Panic S. 18. Zelenkovs D. 37. Wouter T. 9. Ikaunieks D.
Substitutes
40. Busuladzic K. 11. Ekong E. 33. Ellborg M. (G) 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 23. Johnsen L. 2. Karlsson J. 6. Lewicki O. 34. Loukili Z. 13. Olsson M. 8. Sigurdsson A. 37. Skogmar A. 35. Zatterstrom N.	71. Diedhiou B. 41. Karashima Y. 22. Lemajic D. 25. Mares P. 16. Nerugals J. (G) 8. Odisharia L. 77. Porsan Clemente J. 81. Rakic S. 27. Sibass R. 21. Stuglis E. 13. Vilkovs S. (G)
Coaches
Rydstrom H.	Morozs V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Haksabanovic S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ikaunieks D. ↓, Mares P. ↑,
46', Rosengren O. ↓, Johnsen L. ↑,
61', Wouter T. ↓, Lemajic D. ↑,
63', Ikaunieks J. 🟥,
69', Ali T. ↓, Sigurdsson A. ↑,
69', Bolin H. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
74', Savalnieks R. ↓, Diedhiou B. ↑,
74', Panic S. ↓, Rakic S. ↑,
75', Busanello ↓, Skogmar A. ↑,
83', Berg O. ↓, Busuladzic K. ↑,
87', Talla M. ↓, Porsan Clemente J. ↑,
90+4', Njie H. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 4-1. 2nd leg.

Malmö is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

RFS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Malmö is the clear favorite.

We predict that Malmö will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Malmö won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
26.07.25	Brommapojkarna - Malmö	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.07.25	RFS - Malmö	1:4 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.07.25	Öster - Malmö	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.07.25	Malmö - Iberia 1999	3:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
12.07.25	Malmö - Norrköping	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW
- FK RFS
Latvian Virsliga
26.07.25	RFS - Tukums 2000	6:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.07.25	RFS - Malmö	1:4 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
19.07.25	Metta - RFS	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.07.25	RFS - Levadia Tallinn	1:0 ✺
08.07.25	Levadia Tallinn - RFS	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
22.07.25	RFS - Malmö	1:4

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