Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 6

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca Deportes
Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play


	Malmö		Mjällby

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.65
	2.35	3.3	2.9
	2.42	3.4	2.75
	2.52	3.47	2.88
	2.46	3.46	2.8	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.75
	2.43	3.36	2.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.31)	3.38 ↑ (3.3)	2.78 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
38.6%

Draw
27.7%

Mjällby
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

28.3%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

27.4%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Malmö - Mjällby Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Mjällby will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Dahlin J. (C) 17. Stryger J. 5. Djuric A. 19. Rosler C. 47. Lundbergh T. 24. Sjostrand O. 7. Rosengren O. 6. Karabelyov Y. 29. Haksabanovic S. 37. Skogmar A. 20. Botheim E.	13. Wallinder R. (G) 33. Miettinen T. 4. Noren A. 5. Iqbal A. 14. Granath V. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 6. Thorell L. 17. Stroud E. 7. Gustafson V. 18. Bergstrom J. 19. Manneh A.
Substitutes
22. Ali T. 25. Busanello 40. Busuladzic K. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 45. Hoog A. 2. Karlsson J. 28. Milosavljevic J. 50. Nieroth W. (G) 44. Palsson M.	39. Arrhenius R. 15. Bang-Kittilsen B. 10. Kjaer J. 29. Lindberg O. 35. Lundin A. (G) 25. Nielsen M. 24. Pettersson T. 23. Samuelsen A. 27. Tidstrand L.
Coaches
Ramirez M.	Aksum K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Bergstrom J. ⚽, Granath V. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 0 - 2, Stroud E. ⚽, Manneh A. (A),
54', Botheim E. ↓, Gudjohnsen D. T. ↑,
55', Skogmar A. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
57', 1 - 2, Ali T. ⚽, Haksabanovic S. (A),
64', Gustafson V. ↓, Kjaer J. ↑,
64', Granath V. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
70', 1 - 3, Bergstrom J. ⚽, Kjaer J. (A),
71', Lundbergh T. ↓, Busanello ↑,
71', Karabelyov Y. ↓, Busuladzic K. ↑,
73', Iqbal A. 🟨,
82', 2 - 3, Haksabanovic S. ⚽, Ali T. (A),
85', Thorell L. ↓, Arrhenius R. ↑,
85', Rosengren O. ↓, Milosavljevic J. ↑,
85', Iqbal A. ↓, Pettersson T. ↑,
89', Manneh A. ↓, Tidstrand L. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 1.

Malmö is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mjällby has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Malmö might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Malmö: Ekong E. (Inactive) Jansson P. (Injury) Kurtulus B. (Injury) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury) Olsen R. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

Malmo FF: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Malmo FF	22	10	3	9	37:33	4	33
12	Mjallby	22	5	7	10	27:38	-11	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.04.26	AIK - Malmö	0:1 ✺
23.04.26	Malmö - Sirius	2:3 ✺
17.04.26	Djurgården - Malmö	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Malmö - GAIS	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Örgryte - Malmö	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWT
- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.04.26	Mjällby - Halmstad	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	GAIS - Mjällby	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Mjällby - Brommapojkarna	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Mjällby - Örgryte	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Hammarby - Mjällby	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
14.03.26	Mjällby - Malmö	4:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
09.08.25	Malmö - Mjällby	1:3
30.06.25	Mjällby - Malmö	1:1
29.09.24	Malmö - Mjällby	2:0
13.07.24	Mjällby - Malmö	2:1
14.08.23	Mjällby - Malmö	1:0
09.07.23	Malmö - Mjällby	1:2

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