Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 25

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Referee: Sars J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HBO Max, Veikkaus TV
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play


	Malmö		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	1.17	7	12	Watch
	1.17	7.2	14	Watch
	1.21	7.2	13.16
	1.09	9.26	27.89	Watch
	1.19	6.93	11.9	Watch
	1.21	6.2	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.2)	7.3 ↑ (6.95)	14.99 ↑ (13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
80.7%

Draw
13%

Värnamo
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.1%

13.6%

7.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Malmö - Värnamo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Värnamo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Olsen R. (G) 17. Stryger J. 18. Jansson P. (C) 19. Rosler C. 25. Busanello 11. Ekong E. 23. Johnsen L. 37. Skogmar A. 38. Bolin H. 29. Haksabanovic S. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T.	1. Keto H. (G) 5. Larsson V. (C) 4. Mohammed R. 27. Coulibaly S. 3. Bjornstrom A. 18. Alsalkhadi M. 11. Antonsen K. 8. Liimatta O. 7. Johansson C. 25. Shamoun N. 10. Zeljkovic A.
Substitutes
40. Busuladzic K. 10. Christiansen A. 5. Djuric A. 33. Ellborg M. (G) 21. Holmquist S. 2. Karlsson J. 6. Lewicki O. 13. Olsson M. 15. Soumah S.	21. Abdulrazak I. 6. Andersson H. 24. Grozdanic E. 16. Kujundzic A. 9. Meriluoto K. 2. Rapp J. 22. Thern S. 40. Tihic A. (G) 20. Winsth F.
Coaches
Mravac A.	Sandsto A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Zeljkovic A. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Ekong E. ⚽, Gudjohnsen D. T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Jansson P. ⚽, Busanello (A),
59', 2 - 2, Zeljkovic A. ⚽, Liimatta O. (A),
60', Skogmar A. ↓, Christiansen A. ↑,
60', Gudjohnsen D. T. ↓, Busuladzic K. ↑,
69', Bolin H. 🟨,
72', 3 - 2, Christiansen A. ⚽,
73', Ekong E. ↓, Soumah S. ↑,
77', Johansson C. ↓, Thern S. ↑,
77', Antonsen K. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
81', Larsson V. 🟨,
85', Shamoun N. ↓, Meriluoto K. ↑,
87', Liimatta O. ↓, Andersson H. ↑,
87', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Holmquist S. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 3.

Recent performances by Malmö have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Värnamo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Malmö is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E. (Broken Leg) Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Frejd Palsson M. (Inactive) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury) Rosengren O. (Yellow Cards) Sigurdsson A. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Malmö - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.09.25	Malmö - Djurgården	0:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
17.09.25	Olympic - Malmö	0:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
14.09.25	Elfsborg - Malmö	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Malmö - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWTT
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.09.25	Värnamo - Halmstad	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Öster - Värnamo	4:3 ✺
30.08.25	IFK Göteborg - Värnamo	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Värnamo - Häcken	1:5 ✺
18.08.25	Värnamo - Degerfors	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
15.05.25	Värnamo - Malmö	2:2
06.10.24	Malmö - Värnamo	1:1
15.04.24	Värnamo - Malmö	0:4
31.07.23	Malmö - Värnamo	3:1
10.06.23	Värnamo - Malmö	1:3
09.10.22	Malmö - Värnamo	0:0
21.04.22	Värnamo - Malmö	0:0

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