Match Info

World Cup - Qualification

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday

Location: Helsinki Olympic Stadium (Helsinki)

Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	YLE Areena, YLE TV2
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Sportklub
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Turkey	Exxen
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Sport 24


	Finland		Malta

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	9.5
	1.31	5.4	10.5
	1.36	5.15	11.5
	1.24	6.03	12.29	Watch
	1.37	5.12	9.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.2)	5.34 ↓ (6.47)	10.7 ↓ (15.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Finland
72.9%

Draw
18.1%

Malta
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.1%

14.7%

6.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Finland's form might have worsened.

Malta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.7%	0%	3.3%

Finland - Malta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Finland (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Finland will win (29 of 30 users predict this - 96.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.25% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Finland will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Finland (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Malta (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sinisalo V. (G) Celtic 2. Lahteenmaki J. Nordsjaelland 21. Koski V. Istra 1961 5. Tenho M. Djurgarden 15. Mahuta R. FK Pardubice 14. Kairinen K. Sparta Prague 11. Markhiev A. Nurnberg 7. Antman O. Rangers 6. Walta L. Sirius 19. Kallman B. Hannover 20. Pohjanpalo J. (C) Palermo	1. Bonello H. (G) Hamrun 22. Muscat Z. Chaves 5. Shaw K. Sorrento 13. Pepe E. Marsaxlokk 21. Corbalan J. C. Marsaxlokk 6. Guillaumier M. (C) Panserraikos 23. Satariano A. Athens Kallithea 7. Mbong J. Hamrun 8. Mbong P. Cukaricki 20. Chouaref Y. Sion 11. Cardona I. St Etienne
Substitutes
23. Bergstrom L. (G) Mallorca 1. Hradecky L. (G) Monaco 4. Ivanov R. Asteras Tripolis 13. Jukkola O. Ilves 18. Keskinen T. Aberdeen 8. Lod R. Minnesota United 3. Niska J. Inter Turku 10. Pukki T. HJK 22. Pyyhtia N. Modena 9. Skytta N. Kaiserslautern 16. Suhonen A. Oster	16. Al Tumi R. (G) Sliema 15. Beerman M. Sliema 2. Borg J. Sliema 19. Buhagiar T. Tampines 4. Carragher J. Wigan 12. Debono M. (G) Naxxar Lions 9. Grech J. Floriana 14. Mentz G. Gzira 3. Overend A. Sliema 10. Paiber B. Valletta 18. Yankam Y. Valletta 17. Zammit A. Valletta
Coaches
Friis J.	De Leo E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Lod R. ↑,
65', Mbong J. ↓, Overend A. ↑,
73', Markhiev A. ↓, Skytta N. ↑,
73', Mahuta R. ↓, Jukkola O. ↑,
78', Kallman B. ↓, Pukki T. ↑,
78', Antman O. ↓, Keskinen T. ↑,
79', Mbong P. ↓, Grech J. ↑,
79', Muscat Z. ↓, Mentz G. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Grech J. ⚽, Chouaref Y. (A),
88', Pepe E. ↓, Borg J. ↑,
88', Cardona I. ↓, Zammit A. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Finland is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Finland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finland
FIFA World Cup
12.10.25	Netherlands - Finland	4:0 ✺
09.10.25	Finland - Lithuania	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Poland - Finland	3:1 ✺
Friendly
04.09.25	Norway - Finland	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Finland - Poland	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLLW
- Malta
Friendly
12.10.25	Malta - Bosnia and Herzegovina	1:4 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.10.25	Malta - Netherlands	0:4 ✺
Friendly
09.09.25	Malta - San Marino	3:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
04.09.25	Lithuania - Malta	1:1 ✺
10.06.25	Netherlands - Malta	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
21.03.25	Malta - Finland	0:1
Friendly
26.03.18	Finland - Malta	5:0

Finland - Malta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide