Match Info

CAF Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium (Pretoria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Sport 5, SportKlub 9
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
South-africa	SABC 1, SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport Variety 4
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz


	Mamelodi Sundowns		Al Ahly Cairo

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.1	6	Watch
	1.9	2.9	4
	1.7	3.4	5	Watch
	1.7	3.49	5.3
	1.71	3.41	5.36	Watch
	2	2.9	3.9
	1.72	3.34	5.55	Watch
	1.7	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.05)	3.24 ↑ (2.85)	5.01 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mamelodi Sundowns
52.8%

Draw
28.7%

Al Ahly Cairo
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

31.4%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

31.4%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mamelodi Sundowns's performance.

Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Ahly Cairo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mamelodi Sundowns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Ahly Cairo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Mamelodi Sundowns - Al Ahly Cairo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 1 - 50%). Al Ahly (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Mamelodi Sundowns will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Williams R. (C) 25. Mudau K. 20. Kekana G. 4. Mokoena T. 5. Lebusa M. 11. Allende M. 10. Ribeiro L. 17. Matthews T. 26. Adams J. 6. Modiba A. 38. Shalulile P.	1. El Shenawy M. (C) 30. Hany M. 15. Dari A. 5. Rabia R. 27. El Aash M. 13. Attia M. 6. Yasser Ibrahim 24. Reda A. 11. Gradisar N. 22. Ashour E. 29. Mohamed T.
Substitutes
9. Arthur Sales 15. Aubaas B. J. 28. Mdunyelwa Z. 21. Mkhulise S. 1. Onyango D. (G) 13. Rayners I. 24. Suarez L. 31. Tiwani A. 18. Zwane T.	19. Afsha 36. Ahmed Kouka 34. Bencharki A. 14. El Shahat H. 17. El Solia A. 3. Kamal O. 20. Karim Nedved 31. Oufa Shobeir (G) 8. Tawfik A.
Coaches
Cardoso M.	Koller M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Shalulile P. ↓, Rayners I. ↑,
62', Matthews T. ↓, Arthur Sales ↑,
69', Modiba A. 🟨,
70', Adams J. ↓, Zwane T. ↑,
78', Allende M. 🟨,
89', Reda A. ↓, Tawfik A. ↑,
90', Gradisar N. ↓, Bencharki A. ↑,
90+1', Modiba A. ↓, Tiwani A. ↑,
90+6', Bencharki A. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Al Ahly is Qualified for CAF Champions League (Play Offs )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mamelodi Sundowns won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Al Ahly could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mamelodi Sundowns is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Mamelodi Sundowns won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:11 (average 1.4:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Mamelodi Sundowns won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:4 (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mamelodi Sundowns
South African Nedbank Cup
13.04.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs	1:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
08.04.25	Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0 ✺
01.04.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Espérance ST	1:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
28.03.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Sekhukhune United	1:0 ET ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
16.03.25	Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWWL
- Al Ahly Cairo
Egyptian League Cup
17.04.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Pharco	1:2 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
12.04.25	Pyramids - Al Ahly Cairo	1:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
08.04.25	Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman - Al Ahly Cairo	0:1 ✺
01.04.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	1:0 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
24.03.25	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Al Ahly Cairo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

African Football League
01.11.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0
29.10.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Al Ahly Cairo	1:0
CAF Champions League
11.03.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Al Ahly Cairo	5:2
25.02.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:2
12.03.22	Mamelodi Sundowns - Al Ahly Cairo	1:0
26.02.22	Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1
22.05.21	Mamelodi Sundowns - Al Ahly Cairo	1:1

Upcoming Matches