Match Info

Betway Premiership - Round 27

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Loftus Versfeld Stadium (Pretoria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus, SuperSport PSL


	Mamelodi Sundowns		Kaizer Chiefs

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.65	6.3
	1.54	3.79	7.09
	1.51	3.66	6.59	Watch
	1.5	3.5	6.5
	1.5	3.58	6.51	Watch
	1.63	3.45	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.63)	3.61 ↑ (3.45)	6.42 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamelodi Sundowns
60.1%

Draw
25.6%

Kaizer Chiefs
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

26.7%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

25.5%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Kaizer Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaizer Chiefs than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Williams R. (G) 25. Mudau K. 24. Cupido K. 3. Ndamane K. 6. Modiba A. 4. Mokoena T. 11. Allende M. 8. Adams J. 18. Zwane T. (C) 12. Leon B. 17. Matthews T.	1. Petersen B. (C) 2. Monyane T. 25. Msimango S. G. 35. McCarthy A. 48. Cross B. 8. Ndlovu S. 6. Maboe L. 99. Lilepo M. 7. Shabalala M. 13. Mmodi P. 77. Silva F.
Substitutes
20. Kekana G. 29. Lunga D. 21. Mkhulise S. 27. Morena T. 34. Ntsabeleng T. 1. Onyango D. (G) 13. Rayners I. 10. Santos N. 38. Shalulile P.	44. Bvuma B. (G) 21. Cele T. 9. Du Preez A. 39. Frosler R. 84. Inacio Miguel 5. Mthethwa S. 10. Sirino G. 17. Velebayi A. 28. Vilakazi M.
Coaches
Cardoso M.	Ben Youssef K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Mudau K. 🟨,
13', Ndlovu S. 🟨,
17', Cupido K. ↓, Kekana G. ↑,
25', 0 - 1, Silva F. ⚽, Shabalala M. (A),
44', Adams J. 🟨,
45+3', Shabalala M. ↓, Sirino G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zwane T. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
46', Allende M. ↓, Morena T. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Leon B. ⚽, Morena T. (A),
64', Adams J. 🟨,
66', Ndlovu S. ↓, Mthethwa S. ↑,
67', Mmodi P. 🟨,
80', Sirino G. 🟨,
80', Leon B. ↓, Rayners I. ↑,
82', Modiba A. 🟨,
84', Lilepo M. ↓, Vilakazi M. ↑,
84', Mmodi P. ↓, Velebayi A. ↑,
87', Modiba A. ↓, Shalulile P. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup).

Mamelodi Sundowns is Qualified for CAF Champions League

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 3.

Mamelodi Sundowns is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kaizer Chiefs has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kaizer Chiefs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kaizer Chiefs has had a series of away games.

In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Mamelodi Sundowns will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:19. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mamelodi Sundowns won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns	8	6	2	0	19:7	12	20
4	Kaizer Chiefs	7	3	4	0	12:7	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mamelodi Sundowns
South African Premier Soccer League
03.05.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Polokwane City	3:0 ✺
29.04.26	Polokwane City - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Richards Bay - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0 ✺
22.04.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch	1:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
18.04.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Espérance ST	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWTTW
- Kaizer Chiefs
South African Premier Soccer League
29.04.26	Siwelele - Kaizer Chiefs	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Orlando Pirates - Kaizer Chiefs	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Polokwane City - Kaizer Chiefs	0:0 ✺
15.04.26	Magesi - Kaizer Chiefs	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Kaizer Chiefs - TS Galaxy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
27.08.25	Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0
South African Nedbank Cup
13.04.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs	1:2
South African Premier Soccer League
01.03.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs	1:0
South African Knockout
02.11.24	Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:4
South African Premier Soccer League
28.09.24	Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:2
02.05.24	Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:5
South African MTN 8 Cup
23.09.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs	2:1

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