Match Info

Diski Challenge - Round 29

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Mamelodi Sundowns U23		Kaizer Chiefs U23

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.3
	1.86	3.34	3.45
	1.95	3.36	3.55	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.4
	1.89	3.44	3.55
	1.92	3.45	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.06)	3.35 ↓ (3.4)	3.43 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamelodi Sundowns U23
47.1%

Draw
26.8%

Kaizer Chiefs U23
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.4%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

25.4%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamelodi Sundowns U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Kaizer Chiefs U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns U23 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaizer Chiefs U23 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Kaizer Chiefs U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi U23 won 2.

Mamelodi U23 is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kaizer Chiefs U23 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mamelodi U23 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi U23 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mamelodi U23 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1.7:3.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs U23	3	3	0	0	8:4	4	9
8	Mamelodi Sundowns U23	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mamelodi Sundowns U23
South African Diski Challenge
26.04.26	Richards Bay U23 - Mamelodi Sundowns U23	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Polokwane U23 - Mamelodi Sundowns U23	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Chippa United U23	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Stellenbosch U23	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Marumo Gallants U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW
- Kaizer Chiefs U23
South African Diski Challenge
26.04.26	Kaizer Chiefs U23 - Stellenbosch U23	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Polokwane U23 - Kaizer Chiefs U23	1:5 ✺
11.04.26	Kaizer Chiefs U23 - Siwelele U23	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Kaizer Chiefs U23 - Golden Arrows U23	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Orlando Pirates U23 - Kaizer Chiefs U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

South African Diski Challenge
18.01.26	Kaizer Chiefs U23 - Mamelodi Sundowns U23	2:0
08.02.25	Kaizer Chiefs U23 - Mamelodi Sundowns U23	0:2
23.11.24	Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Kaizer Chiefs U23	2:2
21.04.24	Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Kaizer Chiefs U23	2:2
15.10.23	Kaizer Chiefs U23 - Mamelodi Sundowns U23	0:1
19.02.23	Kaizer Chiefs U23 - Mamelodi Sundowns U23	1:1
23.10.22	Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Kaizer Chiefs U23	0:3

Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Kaizer Chiefs U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide