Match Info

Diski Challenge - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Mamelodi Sundowns U23		Polokwane U23

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.32	6.14	Watch
	1.24	5.15	9.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.43)	4.74 ↑ (4.32)	8 ↑ (6.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamelodi Sundowns U23
69%

Draw
19.5%

Polokwane U23
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

21.2%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

20.5%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamelodi Sundowns U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mamelodi Sundowns U23's performance.

Polokwane U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns U23 than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polokwane U23 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Polokwane U23 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mamelodi U23 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Mamelodi U23 is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi U23 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 3.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mamelodi U23 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 4:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 63.94%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mamelodi Sundowns U23
South African Diski Challenge
15.11.25	Stellenbosch U23 - Mamelodi Sundowns U23	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Magesi U23 - Mamelodi Sundowns U23	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Orlando Pirates U23	1:5 ✺
25.10.25	TS Galaxy U23 - Mamelodi Sundowns U23	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Golden Arrows U23	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLWW
- Polokwane U23
South African Diski Challenge
09.11.25	Kaizer Chiefs U23 - Polokwane U23	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Polokwane U23 - Richards Bay U23	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Polokwane U23 - Orlando Pirates U23	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Siwelele U23 - Polokwane U23	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	Marumo Gallants U23 - Polokwane U23	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

South African Diski Challenge
06.04.25	Polokwane U23 - Mamelodi Sundowns U23	0:1
29.09.24	Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Polokwane U23	3:2
18.02.24	Polokwane U23 - Mamelodi Sundowns U23	0:5
21.10.23	Mamelodi Sundowns U23 - Polokwane U23	5:2

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