Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 30

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Mamer		Jeunesse Canach

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.25	2.45
	2.71	3.25	2.3
	2.39	3.45	2.64	Watch
	2.7	3	2.3
	2.67	3.3	2.3
	2.45	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.4)	3.25 ↓ (3.33)	2.42 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamer
35%

Draw
27.7%

Jeunesse Canach
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

27.2%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

26.3%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Jeunesse Canach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamer than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeunesse Canach than the current prediction. (-1%)

Mamer - Jeunesse Canach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Schreiber M. (G) 54. Biagui Y. 13. Chibani B. 22. Ezan A. 4. Freire N. 11. Jager M. (C) 20. Mendes Y. 97. Montout L. 28. Schmit B. 10. Teles I. 18. Zilli Q.	1. Roulez V. (C) 21. Aguiar J. 12. Amofa B. 6. Castro G. 22. Costa T. 10. Desevic A. 8. Jimmy 15. Laborie P. 84. Nelsinho 11. Nico 27. Sako T.
Substitutes
30. Agnoly M. 19. Badji D. 1. Bonet P. (G) 29. da Costa Batista D. 49. Kerger K. 27. Maurice J. 9. Muric D.	70. Bariki M. 7. Jun C. W. 98. Kuete Nsidjine D. 90. Martins R. (G) 19. Mendes C. 17. Parreira 96. Reihle D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Aguiar J. 🟨,
13', Laborie P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Castro G. 🟨,
61', Zilli Q. ↓, Agnoly M. ↑,
61', Jager M. ↓, Kerger K. ↑,
61', Mendes Y. ↓, da Costa Batista D. ↑,
75', Teles I. ↓, Muric D. ↑,
75', Castro G. ↓, Reihle D. ↑,
75', Nico ↓, Parreira ↑,
75', Jimmy ↓, Jun C. W. ↑,
79', Aguiar J. ↓, Bariki M. ↑,
79', Agnoly M. 🟨,
84', Jun C. W. 🟨,
86', Chibani B. ↓, Badji D. ↑,
88', Sako T. ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 12)

Mamer has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jeunesse Canach has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mamer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mamer 32
Luxembourg National Division
17.05.26	Rodange - Mamer	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Mamer - Racing Luxembourg	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Hostert - Mamer	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Atert Bissen - Mamer	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Mamer - Käerjéng 97	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TWLTL
- Jeunesse Canach
Luxembourg National Division
17.05.26	Jeunesse Canach - Atert Bissen	0:5 ✺
10.05.26	Käerjéng 97 - Jeunesse Canach	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Jeunesse Canach - Progrès Niedercorn	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	UNA Strassen - Jeunesse Canach	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Jeunesse Canach - Pétange	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
03.08.25	Jeunesse Canach - Mamer	2:3

Mamer - Jeunesse Canach: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide