Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 27

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Jos Becker (Hostert)


	Hostert		Mamer

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.4
	1.88	3.3	3.55
	1.86	3.46	3.74
	1.89	3.45	3.71	Watch
	1.85	3.2	3.6
	1.85	3.44	3.69
	2.16	3.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.14)	3.35 ↓ (3.43)	3.51 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hostert
47.3%

Draw
27%

Mamer
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

26.5%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

25.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hostert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Mamer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mamer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hostert than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamer than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Hostert - Mamer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Gomes Y. (G) 30. Al Badaoui A. 28. Almeida Borges B. 11. Bekkouche S. 22. Bernardy L. 31. Derbali R. (C) 14. Dieme E. H. 17. Fernandes D. 26. Leroux M. 15. Letievant A. 8. Maquart T.	1. Bonet P. (G) 19. Badji D. 17. Baillet B. 13. Chibani B. 29. da Costa Batista D. 22. Ezan A. 4. Freire N. (C) 27. Maurice J. 9. Muric D. 99. Rapaille L. 18. Zilli Q.
Substitutes
67. Ahmeti D. 20. Baiverlin C. 25. Caufriez A. 1. da Silva T. (G) 10. Meddour H. 97. Quinol K. 21. Yans M.	30. Agnoly M. 8. Bahovic A. 35. Boisseron J. 5. Erragui R. 20. Mendes Y. . Moutton A. 33. Schreiber M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Almeida Borges B. 🟨,
29', Almeida Borges B. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, da Costa Batista D. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Fernandes D. ⚽,
64', Al Badaoui A. 🟨,
65', 2 - 1, Dieme E. H. ⚽,
66', Maurice J. ↓, Agnoly M. ↑,
66', Badji D. ↓, Mendes Y. ↑,
66', da Costa Batista D. ↓, Erragui R. ↑,
74', Derbali R. 🟨,
77', Bernardy L. ↓, Meddour H. ↑,
80', Al Badaoui A. ↓, Quinol K. ↑,
80', Gomes Y. 🟨,
82', 2 - 2, Muric D. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Ezan A. ↓, Boisseron J. ↑,
87', Muric D. 🟨,
89', 3 - 2, Maquart T. ⚽, Leroux M. (A),
90', Fernandes D. ↓, Caufriez A. ↑,
90+4', Zilli Q. ↓, Bahovic A. ↑,
90+5', 4 - 2, Quinol K. ⚽, Caufriez A. (A),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation))

Recent form of Hostert has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Mamer has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hostert could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hostert won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Hostert	8	3	2	3	14:11	3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Hostert
Luxembourg National Division
26.04.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Hostert	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Hostert - Atert Bissen	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	F91 Dudelange - Hostert	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Hostert - Käerjéng 97	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Jeunesse Esch - Hostert	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLLW
- FC Mamer 32
Luxembourg National Division
26.04.26	Atert Bissen - Mamer	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Mamer - Käerjéng 97	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Mamer	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Mamer - UNA Strassen	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Pétange - Mamer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
03.12.25	Mamer - Hostert	1:0
Luxembourg Cup
28.10.22	Mamer - Hostert	2:5
Luxembourg National Division
26.05.22	Mamer - Hostert	1:1

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