Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 28

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Mamer		Racing Luxembourg

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.7	1.65
	4.21	3.89	1.71
	4.13	3.88	1.7	Watch
	4	3.5	1.67
	4.38	3.7	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↓ (4.49)	3.73 ↓ (3.93)	1.68 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamer
21.7%

Draw
24.3%

Racing Luxembourg
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

23.1%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

21.3%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Racing Luxembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamer than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Luxembourg than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Mamer - Racing Luxembourg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Schreiber M. (G) 17. Baillet B. 54. Biagui Y. 13. Chibani B. 22. Ezan A. 4. Freire N. 97. Montout L. 9. Muric D. 99. Rapaille L. 28. Schmit B. 10. Teles I. (C)	1. Sancho P. (G) 77. Dewalque L. 11. Diakhite A. 6. Freire B. 3. Hofland M. 10. Ikene F. (C) 4. Kada J. 23. Lukoki W. 29. Matuvangua R. . Messan W. 19. Qevani A.
Substitutes
30. Agnoly M. 19. Badji D. 8. Bahovic A. 1. Bonet P. (G) 29. da Costa Batista D. 27. Maurice J. 18. Zilli Q.	99. Azemi E. (G) 37. Bisevac A. 20. Fonrose F. 38. Iserentant Y. 21. Mabanza C. 31. Matubanzila S. 30. Monge N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Chibani B. ⚽, Schmit B. (A),
20', Baillet B. 🟨,
22', 🟨,
28', Muric D. 🟨,
32', Freire B. 🟨,
40', Dewalque L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 2 - 0, Chibani B. ⚽,
52', 3 - 0, Rapaille L. ⚽,
58', Biagui Y. 🟨,
61', Lukoki W. ↓, Fonrose F. ↑,
61', Messan W. ↓, Matubanzila S. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Ikene F. ⚽, Qevani A. (A),
73', Muric D. ↓, Zilli Q. ↑,
74', Diakhite A. ↓, Mabanza C. ↑,
79', 3 - 2, Freire B. ⚽, Mabanza C. (A),
83', Hofland M. 🟨,
87', Qevani A. 🟨,
90+2', Kada J. 🟨,
90+2', Dewalque L. ↓, Monge N. ↑,
90+3', Rapaille L. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 9).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Racing Luxembourg is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mamer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Racing Luxembourg	8	5	2	1	21:8	13	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mamer 32
Luxembourg National Division
03.05.26	Hostert - Mamer	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Atert Bissen - Mamer	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Mamer - Käerjéng 97	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Mamer	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Mamer - UNA Strassen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTLTL
- Racing Luxembourg
Luxembourg National Division
03.05.26	Racing Luxembourg - Atert Bissen	0:5 ✺
26.04.26	Käerjéng 97 - Racing Luxembourg	2:5 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
22.04.26	Differdange 03 - Racing Luxembourg	2:0 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
18.04.26	Racing Luxembourg - Progrès Niedercorn	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	UNA Strassen - Racing Luxembourg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
30.11.25	Racing Luxembourg - Mamer	5:2

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