Match Info

Date: 27 May 2022, Friday


	Mamry Giżycko		Jagiellonia II Białystok

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	1.75
	4.1	3.6	1.7
	3.75	3.5	1.79
	3.75	3.39	1.81
	3.7	3.74	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (2.78)	3.53 ↓ (4.1)	1.77 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamry Giżycko
23.5%

Draw
25.6%

Jagiellonia II Białystok
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

22.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

22%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamry Giżycko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mamry Giżycko's form might have worsened.

Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jagiellonia II Białystok's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamry Giżycko than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mamry Giżycko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jagiellonia II Białystok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	30%	40%

Mamry Giżycko - Jagiellonia II Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mamry Giżycko will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Jagiellonia II will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia II: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 10).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Jagiellonia II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Jagiellonia II is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mamry Giżycko won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mamry Giżycko
Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.05.22	Błonianka Błonie - Mamry Giżycko	3:1 ✺
18.05.22	Mamry Giżycko - Wikielec	0:1 ✺
14.05.22	Mamry Giżycko - Polonia Warsaw	0:2 ✺
11.05.22	Unia Skierniewice - Mamry Giżycko	1:2 ✺
07.05.22	Mamry Giżycko - Wissa Szczuczyn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLWW
- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
22.05.22	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pilica Białobrzegi	3:1 ✺
14.05.22	Legia II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	4:1 ✺
11.05.22	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Znicz Biała Piska	2:1 ✺
08.05.22	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:0 ✺
01.05.22	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Kutno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.12.21	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mamry Giżycko	0:1

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